The effect of the early away goal and 0-1 HT in NORWAY Tippeligaen,

[jonnyg]

Norway Tipp in games where the away team open the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 0-1 HT game state <


last 43 and 56% ended over 2.5 goals with the home teams scoring in the 2nd half in a whopping 77%



1-2 0-1 1-2 3-1 1-1 0-1 1-1 2-2 1-1 2-1 0-1 0-1 3-3


and


T HT T+1 FT
Bodø Sarpsborg 7 0 1 A69 0 2
Lillestrøm Bodo 12 0 1 H83 1 1
Bodo Stabæk 14 0 1 H47 6 1
Viking Mjøndalen 8 0 1 H67 3 1
Start Mjøndalen 20 0 1 H60 1 1
Viking Strom. 15 0 1 H78 1 1
Start Haugesund 9 0 1 A64 1 3
Valerenga Molde 13 0 1 0 1
Mjondalen Bodo 12 0 1 A52 1 2
Molde Haugesund 8 0 1 0 1
Sarpsborg Lillestrøm 19 0 1 A50 1 3
Haugesund Viking 8 0 1 A85 0 2
Lillestrom Molde 7 0 1 H60 2 1
Viking Odd 15 0 1 H53 1 1
Rosenberg Start 4 0 1 H57 3 2
Bodo Molde 17 0 1 A60 1 3
Lillestrom Start 11 0 1 H90 1 1
Start Aalesund 13 0 1 H87 1 2
Brann Start 18 0 1 A62 1 2
Bodo Strom 4 0 1 A60 0 4
Odd Start 12 0 1 H57 4 1
Bodo Molde 15 0 1 H61 1 1
Stabaeck Start 18 0 1 H67 1 2
Viking Sandness 14 0 1 A48 2 2
Start Valerenga 15 0 1 H61 2 2
Sandness Rosenburg 1 0 1 A61 0 2
Sogndal Sarpsporg 2 0 1 H56 1 1
Hønefoss Sarpsborg 11 0 1 H51 3 1
Brann Rosenburg 7 0 1 A53 1 4
Sandnes Sogndal 3 0 1 A51 1 3


the away teams won the 2nd half in only 9/43 < did you back Rosenberg yesterday to win the second half or score the 2nd goal ?

as soon as Rosenberg opened the scoring ( 0-1 ) they were offered at 8/11 to score goal 2 >

Norway Tipp in games where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 > PATHWAY>


1. > 1-1

2. > 0-2

3. 0-1 FT

4. > 1-1

5. > 1-1

6. > 1-1

7 > 1-1

8 > 1-1

9 > 1-1

10 > 1-1

11 > 1-1

12 > 1-1

13 > 1-1

14 . 0-1 FT

15 > 1-1

16 > 1-1

17 > 1-1

18 > 1-1

19 > 1-1

20 > 0-2

so last 20 in the profile and away team scored 2nd goal of game in 2/20 so we can see that Rosenberg should not have been odds on to score goal 2

[jonnyg]

Originally posted by Nape:
Rosenberg are offered at 8/11 to score goal 2 < the data suggests that price should be bigger <


i am offering free real time early goal data and analysis

I think the reason why the early goal and the effect has not been added to mainstream betting models is because of the difficulty in scraping the data < I have had to manually collate the data which has been very labour intensive

[jonnyg]

If you back BTTS yes in games before they start < have a look below


Posted on: April 7th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark
2014 season in Norway Tippeligaen in games where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band , 85% ended over 2.5 goals, 54% ended over 3.5 goals and both teams scored in a whopping 85% .

In early away goal games in Tippeligaen there will be high expectation of both teams scoring as some expectation of the home team fighting back and the away teams won only 48%, 19% ended a draw and the home teams won 33% = acceleration of goal production in general > lowers expectation of a draw and very high home win %. = Huge in play betting edge ….

Over 1.5 goals in the first half was landed in a whopping 81% and 42% produced a goal(s) 80 +

2015 season in Norway Tippeligaen in games where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes tome band, 83% ended over 2.5 goals, 60% ended over 3.5 goals and both teams scored in a whopping 83%

Over 1.5 goals in the first half was landed in 75% and 60% produced a goal(s) 80 +

The home teams won 27%, 20% ended a draw and the away teams won 53% < expectation of the home teams fighting back

Last season in Norway Tippeligaen in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band , 69% ended over 2.5 goals, 53% ended over 3.5 goals and both teams scored in a whopping 81%

Over 1.5 goals in the first half was landed in 62.5% and 53% produced a goal(s) 80 +

GAME PATHWAY

3/32 0-1 FT

> 1-1 21/32 9-7-5, the away teams won 24%

> 0-2 8/32 1-2-5, the away teams won 62.5%

10-9-13 , the away teams won 41%

Summary

In Norway Tippeligaen in games where the away team open the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band , > 1-1 pathway will be far more likely then the > 0-2 pathway and as a result there will be some expectation of the home team fighting back with the BTTS YES % at a high level season on season in this profile in Tippeligaen

T HT T+1 FT Goal 80 +
Odd Sogndal 5 0 1 H67 3 1 85
Val Stabæk 3 0 1 H84 1 1 84
Start Tromso 4 2 1 H14 2 1
Strom Odd 1 1 1 H5 1 1
Val Aal 1 0 1 0 1
Aal Strom 1 1 1 H14 4 2 90
Bodo Brann 13 1 1 H18 1 3
Aal Sarp 11 1 2 H13 2 2 83
Start Sogndal 7 0 1 H89 1 1 89
Val Brann 14 2 1 H31 3 2 90
Lil Rosenborg 18 0 4 A25 3 4 89
Tromso Aal 4 1 2 H14 1 2
Sogndal Bodo 17 0 1 A61 2 2 85
Molde Start 8 1 1 H22 2 2
Aal Rosenborg 2 0 1 H90 1 1 90
Haug Viking 12 1 1 H16 4 1 86
Brann Val 20 1 1 H40 4 1 8285
Strom Aal 5 2 2 H17 4 2 90
Haug Start 15 0 1 H49 2 1
Lil Tromso 3 1 2 H14 2 4
Tromso Sarp 2 1 2 A27 1 2
Strom Val 20 0 2 A28 3 2 85
Bodo Aal 8 0 1 0 1
Stab Tromso 7 0 2 A25 0 3
Val Haug 18 0 1 0 1
Haug Molde 20 0 1 A48 3 3 8589
Bodo Sarp 7 0 1 A69 0 2
Viking Haug 14 1 1 H35 3 2 86
Start Sarp 3 1 3 H11 1 4
Bodo Haug 12 2 2 H19 3 4 90
Viking Odd 13 0 2 A25 0 2
Lil Bodo 12 0 1 H83 1 1 83

[max_usted]

Thanks very much for posting Cassini - great stuff, very interesting

[jonnyg]

Thanks very much for posting Cassini - great stuff, very interesting

I am still perplexed after 5 years of providing early goal data and analysis that the mainstream have still not come close to embracing the effect of the time of the opening goal

[max_usted]

Did you trade the Real Madrid match this evening, seems like it would have suited your style and fit with your pattern.

[jonnyg]

Posts: 54270 | Registered: 20 April 2015 Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Nape
posted 02 May 2017 09:29 PM Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by Mark500:
2-0......



that goal 80 +