Are you backing Over 3.5 goals in the Premier League as the opening goal hits the onion bag in games that produce the op

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jonnyg
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Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

In the Premier League in games where the away team open the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band the average price for over 3.5 goals immediately after the opening goal will be around 5/6

I have added the last 20 games played by teams in the Premier League AWAY since 2008-2009 where they opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and we can see that contrary to popular opinion , backing over 3.5 goals in the games below immediately after the opening goal would result in a loss over time.

Liverpool last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

2-2 4-3 2-4 1-2 3-2 0-6 4-5 1-4 0-2 0-1 3-1 0-3 3-3 2-3 0-3 3-5 2-1 0-5 3-3 0-6

4-3-13 Liverpool won 65%

Average goal production 4.85

BTTS YES 65%

90% over 2.5 goals

70% over 3.5 goals

Chelsea last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

1-3 1-2 1-1 0-3 0-2 2-2 3-2 1-4 1-2 2-3 2-3 1-2 0-5 5-3 0-2 1-2 3-6 3-2 1-3 1-3

3-2-15 Chelsea won 75%

Average goal production 4.2

BTTS YES 80%

85% over 2.5 goals

60% OVER 3.5 goals

Spurs last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

2-1 1-2 0-4 0-3 1-2 1-1 0-3 1-2 1-2 2-2 0-4 2-2 1-2 2-3 5-2 1-2 2-3 1-3 5-2 1-3

3-3-14 Spurs won 70%

average goal production 3.85

BTTS YES 80%

95% over 2.5 goals

50% over 3.5 goals

Man UTD last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

0-2 1-3 0-1 3-3 1-3 0-3 1-2 1-2 1-2 5-3 1-1 0-2 0-3 2-2 1-3 5-5 0-2 1-1 2-3 2-3

1-5-14 UTD won 70%

Average goal production 3.8

BTTS YES 70%

70% over 2.5 goals

45% over 3.5 goals

Man City last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

2-2 0-4 0-4 1-3 1-2 1-1 1-1 0-4 0-1 0-3 4-2 1-3 2-4 0-2 1-1 0-3 0-2 1-5 0-2 2-3

1-4-15 City won 75%

Average goal production 3.45

BTTS YES 55%

65% over 2.5 goals

50% over 3.5 goals

Sunderland last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

0-4 2-4 2-2 1-1 2-2 5-1 0-3 1-1 3-1 1-1 2-3 0-3 3-2 1-2 2-1 0-1 1-1 2-2 0-1 1-4

4-7-9 Sunderland won 45%

average goal production 3.45

BTTS YES 75%

70% over 2.5 goals

50% over 3.5 goals

Everton last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

3-2 1-3 0-3 1-1 1-2 0-1 3-2 2-1 1-3 0-2 2-2 0-2 3-1 2-1 1-3 1-3 1-2 2-2 1-1 2-3

5-4-11 Everton won 55%

Average goal production 3.35

BTTS YES 80%

75% over 2.5 goals

50% over 3.5 goals

Stoke last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

1-3 4-1 1-2 1-3 3-4 0-1 0-1 1-1 1-2 2-2 3-3 3-2 1-1 1-1 4-2 1-2 0-1 1-1 2-2 0-2

3-7-10 Stoke won 50%

Average goal production 3.35

BTTS YES 70%

60% over 2.5 goals

45% over 3.5 goals

Newcastle last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

5-1 6-1 2-1 1-4 1-3 0-1 1-2 1-1 1-2 4-3 1-1 0-2 0-2 1-3 2-1 0-2 1-3 1-2 1-1 0-2

5-3-12 Newcastle won 60%

average goal production 3.35

BTTS YES 75%

60% over 2.5 goals

35% over 3.5 goals

Arsenal last 20 away games in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

2-1 2-1 1-4 1-4 1-3 3-3 0-2 0-2 1-2 0-1 1-2 2-1 1-1 0-1 1-3 1-3 0-1 1-2 2-5 1-1

3-3-14 Arsenal won 70%

Average goal production 3.2

BTTS YES 75%

65% over 2.5 goals

35% over 3.5 goals


:idea:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

A table above where Arsenal are bottom < Spurs fans will be happy :)
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

Mainz last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

2-2 0-2 1-3 2-1 3-2 1-3 3-3 2-3 4-2 2-3 3-1 4-1 2-2 1-3 4-1 0-3 1-1 3-1 1-1 2-4

7-5-8 Mainz won 40%

Average goal production 4.15

BTTS YES 90%

85% over 2.5 goals

75% over 3.5 goals



Dortmund last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

2-3 0-3 1-1 1-2 2-5 1-5 2-1 1-3 0-2 2-3 0-3 2-2 2-3 0-3 1-3 1-2 3-3 1-2 1-6 2-3

1-3-16 Dortmund won 80%

average goal production 4.15

BTTS YES 80%

90% over 2.5 goals


55% over 3.5 goals


Bayer Leverkusen last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band


0-2 2-1 0-2 0-1 2-3 2-2 3-3 0-2 1-4 1-3 3-2 0-1 1-4 3-2 1-2 2-2 1-3 1-4 3-2 0-2


4-3-13 Leverkusen won 65% .

Average goal production 3.65


BTTS YES 70%

70% over 2.5 goals

60% over 3.5 goals


Schalke last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

1-4 1-1 2-1 1-4 1-3 1-3 0-4 0-2 2-1 3-3 3-3 1-2 1-2 2-2 1-2 1-2 2-1 2-1 1-2 0-2

4-4-12 Schalke won 60%

Average goal production 3.55


BTTS YES 85%

85% over 2.5 goals

40% over 3.5 goals

Wolfsburg last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band


0-1 1-1 1-2 3-1 1-3 0-2 4-5 1-3 0-4 1-2 1-2 1-3 1-3 0-3 1-2 2-2 0-3 1-3 1-1 4-1

2-3-15 Wolfsburg won 75%


Average goal production 3.55


BTTS YES 75%

80% over 2.5 goals

50% over 3.5 goals



BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band


2-3 0-1 4-1 3-2 3-3 1-5 1-3 1-2 2-1 0-3 1-2 4-2 0-2 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-2 0-3 3-1 0-1


5-3-12 BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH won 60%

average goal production 3.5

BTTS YES 75%


75% over 2.5 goals

40% over 3.5 goals


Hoffenheim last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

2-1 1-1 0-3 1-2 1-3 1-1 1-3 3-1 2-1 1-2 1-1 0-2 1-1 3-2 3-1 2-3 1-4 2-2 2-1 1-5


6-5-9 Hoffenheim won 45%


Average goal production 3.45

BTTS YES 90%

75% over 2.5 goals

45% over 3.5 goals



Hamburg last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band


2-1 0-3 3-2 1-3 0-3 2-1 0-3 1-1 0-5 1-4 4-1 0-2 0-1 1-2 1-1 1-2 3-3 1-1 2-2 1-1

4-6-10 Hamburg won 50%

Average goal production 3.3

BTTS YES 70%

70% over 2.5 goals

35% over 3.5 goals




Bayern Munich last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band


0-6 1-3 2-2 1-2 0-1 1-3 1-3 0-3 2-1 0-2 1-1 1-3 0-2 0-2 0-1 1-6 0-2 1-1 0-6 1-2


1-3-16 Bayern won 80%

average goal production 3.25


BTTS YES 55%


60% over 2.5 goals

40% over 3.5 goals
Last edited by jonnyg on Fri May 05, 2017 7:49 am, edited 6 times in total.
User avatar
jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

how does the time of the opening goal in a game effect ;

1. expectation of accuracy for the rest of the game ?

2. expectation of draw bias / lack of draw bias ?

3. expectation of the other team fighting back ?

4. expectation of btts yes ?

5. expectation of the other team scoring the 2nd goal ?
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

Werder Bremen
3 - 5
Hoffenheim View events More info
0 - 1
7' Á. Szalai
0 - 2
11' A. Kramarić
0 - 3
40' S. Zuber
0 - 4
49' A. Kramarić
0 - 5
51' E. Bičakčić
T. Gebre Selassie 59'
1 - 5
P. Bargfrede 86'
2 - 5
R. Bauer 90'
3 - 5
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