In the Premier League in games where the away team open the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band the average price for over 3.5 goals immediately after the opening goal will be around 5/6
I have added the last 20 games played by teams in the Premier League AWAY since 2008-2009 where they opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and we can see that contrary to popular opinion , backing over 3.5 goals in the games below immediately after the opening goal would result in a loss over time.
Liverpool last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-2 4-3 2-4 1-2 3-2 0-6 4-5 1-4 0-2 0-1 3-1 0-3 3-3 2-3 0-3 3-5 2-1 0-5 3-3 0-6
4-3-13 Liverpool won 65%
Average goal production 4.85
BTTS YES 65%
90% over 2.5 goals
70% over 3.5 goals
Chelsea last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
1-3 1-2 1-1 0-3 0-2 2-2 3-2 1-4 1-2 2-3 2-3 1-2 0-5 5-3 0-2 1-2 3-6 3-2 1-3 1-3
3-2-15 Chelsea won 75%
Average goal production 4.2
BTTS YES 80%
85% over 2.5 goals
60% OVER 3.5 goals
Spurs last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-1 1-2 0-4 0-3 1-2 1-1 0-3 1-2 1-2 2-2 0-4 2-2 1-2 2-3 5-2 1-2 2-3 1-3 5-2 1-3
3-3-14 Spurs won 70%
average goal production 3.85
BTTS YES 80%
95% over 2.5 goals
50% over 3.5 goals
Man UTD last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
0-2 1-3 0-1 3-3 1-3 0-3 1-2 1-2 1-2 5-3 1-1 0-2 0-3 2-2 1-3 5-5 0-2 1-1 2-3 2-3
1-5-14 UTD won 70%
Average goal production 3.8
BTTS YES 70%
70% over 2.5 goals
45% over 3.5 goals
Man City last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-2 0-4 0-4 1-3 1-2 1-1 1-1 0-4 0-1 0-3 4-2 1-3 2-4 0-2 1-1 0-3 0-2 1-5 0-2 2-3
1-4-15 City won 75%
Average goal production 3.45
BTTS YES 55%
65% over 2.5 goals
50% over 3.5 goals
Sunderland last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
0-4 2-4 2-2 1-1 2-2 5-1 0-3 1-1 3-1 1-1 2-3 0-3 3-2 1-2 2-1 0-1 1-1 2-2 0-1 1-4
4-7-9 Sunderland won 45%
average goal production 3.45
BTTS YES 75%
70% over 2.5 goals
50% over 3.5 goals
Everton last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
3-2 1-3 0-3 1-1 1-2 0-1 3-2 2-1 1-3 0-2 2-2 0-2 3-1 2-1 1-3 1-3 1-2 2-2 1-1 2-3
5-4-11 Everton won 55%
Average goal production 3.35
BTTS YES 80%
75% over 2.5 goals
50% over 3.5 goals
Stoke last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
1-3 4-1 1-2 1-3 3-4 0-1 0-1 1-1 1-2 2-2 3-3 3-2 1-1 1-1 4-2 1-2 0-1 1-1 2-2 0-2
3-7-10 Stoke won 50%
Average goal production 3.35
BTTS YES 70%
60% over 2.5 goals
45% over 3.5 goals
Newcastle last 20 away in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
5-1 6-1 2-1 1-4 1-3 0-1 1-2 1-1 1-2 4-3 1-1 0-2 0-2 1-3 2-1 0-2 1-3 1-2 1-1 0-2
5-3-12 Newcastle won 60%
average goal production 3.35
BTTS YES 75%
60% over 2.5 goals
35% over 3.5 goals
Arsenal last 20 away games in the PL when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-1 2-1 1-4 1-4 1-3 3-3 0-2 0-2 1-2 0-1 1-2 2-1 1-1 0-1 1-3 1-3 0-1 1-2 2-5 1-1
3-3-14 Arsenal won 70%
Average goal production 3.2
BTTS YES 75%
65% over 2.5 goals
35% over 3.5 goals
Are you backing Over 3.5 goals in the Premier League as the opening goal hits the onion bag in games that produce the op
Mainz last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-2 0-2 1-3 2-1 3-2 1-3 3-3 2-3 4-2 2-3 3-1 4-1 2-2 1-3 4-1 0-3 1-1 3-1 1-1 2-4
7-5-8 Mainz won 40%
Average goal production 4.15
BTTS YES 90%
85% over 2.5 goals
75% over 3.5 goals
Dortmund last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-3 0-3 1-1 1-2 2-5 1-5 2-1 1-3 0-2 2-3 0-3 2-2 2-3 0-3 1-3 1-2 3-3 1-2 1-6 2-3
1-3-16 Dortmund won 80%
average goal production 4.15
BTTS YES 80%
90% over 2.5 goals
55% over 3.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
0-2 2-1 0-2 0-1 2-3 2-2 3-3 0-2 1-4 1-3 3-2 0-1 1-4 3-2 1-2 2-2 1-3 1-4 3-2 0-2
4-3-13 Leverkusen won 65% .
Average goal production 3.65
BTTS YES 70%
70% over 2.5 goals
60% over 3.5 goals
Schalke last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
1-4 1-1 2-1 1-4 1-3 1-3 0-4 0-2 2-1 3-3 3-3 1-2 1-2 2-2 1-2 1-2 2-1 2-1 1-2 0-2
4-4-12 Schalke won 60%
Average goal production 3.55
BTTS YES 85%
85% over 2.5 goals
40% over 3.5 goals
Wolfsburg last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
0-1 1-1 1-2 3-1 1-3 0-2 4-5 1-3 0-4 1-2 1-2 1-3 1-3 0-3 1-2 2-2 0-3 1-3 1-1 4-1
2-3-15 Wolfsburg won 75%
Average goal production 3.55
BTTS YES 75%
80% over 2.5 goals
50% over 3.5 goals
BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-3 0-1 4-1 3-2 3-3 1-5 1-3 1-2 2-1 0-3 1-2 4-2 0-2 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-2 0-3 3-1 0-1
5-3-12 BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH won 60%
average goal production 3.5
BTTS YES 75%
75% over 2.5 goals
40% over 3.5 goals
Hoffenheim last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-1 1-1 0-3 1-2 1-3 1-1 1-3 3-1 2-1 1-2 1-1 0-2 1-1 3-2 3-1 2-3 1-4 2-2 2-1 1-5
6-5-9 Hoffenheim won 45%
Average goal production 3.45
BTTS YES 90%
75% over 2.5 goals
45% over 3.5 goals
Hamburg last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-1 0-3 3-2 1-3 0-3 2-1 0-3 1-1 0-5 1-4 4-1 0-2 0-1 1-2 1-1 1-2 3-3 1-1 2-2 1-1
4-6-10 Hamburg won 50%
Average goal production 3.3
BTTS YES 70%
70% over 2.5 goals
35% over 3.5 goals
Bayern Munich last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
0-6 1-3 2-2 1-2 0-1 1-3 1-3 0-3 2-1 0-2 1-1 1-3 0-2 0-2 0-1 1-6 0-2 1-1 0-6 1-2
1-3-16 Bayern won 80%
average goal production 3.25
BTTS YES 55%
60% over 2.5 goals
40% over 3.5 goals
2-2 0-2 1-3 2-1 3-2 1-3 3-3 2-3 4-2 2-3 3-1 4-1 2-2 1-3 4-1 0-3 1-1 3-1 1-1 2-4
7-5-8 Mainz won 40%
Average goal production 4.15
BTTS YES 90%
85% over 2.5 goals
75% over 3.5 goals
Dortmund last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-3 0-3 1-1 1-2 2-5 1-5 2-1 1-3 0-2 2-3 0-3 2-2 2-3 0-3 1-3 1-2 3-3 1-2 1-6 2-3
1-3-16 Dortmund won 80%
average goal production 4.15
BTTS YES 80%
90% over 2.5 goals
55% over 3.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
0-2 2-1 0-2 0-1 2-3 2-2 3-3 0-2 1-4 1-3 3-2 0-1 1-4 3-2 1-2 2-2 1-3 1-4 3-2 0-2
4-3-13 Leverkusen won 65% .
Average goal production 3.65
BTTS YES 70%
70% over 2.5 goals
60% over 3.5 goals
Schalke last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
1-4 1-1 2-1 1-4 1-3 1-3 0-4 0-2 2-1 3-3 3-3 1-2 1-2 2-2 1-2 1-2 2-1 2-1 1-2 0-2
4-4-12 Schalke won 60%
Average goal production 3.55
BTTS YES 85%
85% over 2.5 goals
40% over 3.5 goals
Wolfsburg last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
0-1 1-1 1-2 3-1 1-3 0-2 4-5 1-3 0-4 1-2 1-2 1-3 1-3 0-3 1-2 2-2 0-3 1-3 1-1 4-1
2-3-15 Wolfsburg won 75%
Average goal production 3.55
BTTS YES 75%
80% over 2.5 goals
50% over 3.5 goals
BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH last 20 away games in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-3 0-1 4-1 3-2 3-3 1-5 1-3 1-2 2-1 0-3 1-2 4-2 0-2 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-2 0-3 3-1 0-1
5-3-12 BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH won 60%
average goal production 3.5
BTTS YES 75%
75% over 2.5 goals
40% over 3.5 goals
Hoffenheim last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-1 1-1 0-3 1-2 1-3 1-1 1-3 3-1 2-1 1-2 1-1 0-2 1-1 3-2 3-1 2-3 1-4 2-2 2-1 1-5
6-5-9 Hoffenheim won 45%
Average goal production 3.45
BTTS YES 90%
75% over 2.5 goals
45% over 3.5 goals
Hamburg last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-1 0-3 3-2 1-3 0-3 2-1 0-3 1-1 0-5 1-4 4-1 0-2 0-1 1-2 1-1 1-2 3-3 1-1 2-2 1-1
4-6-10 Hamburg won 50%
Average goal production 3.3
BTTS YES 70%
70% over 2.5 goals
35% over 3.5 goals
Bayern Munich last 20 away in Bundesliga when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
0-6 1-3 2-2 1-2 0-1 1-3 1-3 0-3 2-1 0-2 1-1 1-3 0-2 0-2 0-1 1-6 0-2 1-1 0-6 1-2
1-3-16 Bayern won 80%
average goal production 3.25
BTTS YES 55%
60% over 2.5 goals
40% over 3.5 goals
Last edited by jonnyg on Fri May 05, 2017 7:49 am, edited 6 times in total.
how does the time of the opening goal in a game effect ;
1. expectation of accuracy for the rest of the game ?
2. expectation of draw bias / lack of draw bias ?
3. expectation of the other team fighting back ?
4. expectation of btts yes ?
5. expectation of the other team scoring the 2nd goal ?
1. expectation of accuracy for the rest of the game ?
2. expectation of draw bias / lack of draw bias ?
3. expectation of the other team fighting back ?
4. expectation of btts yes ?
5. expectation of the other team scoring the 2nd goal ?