League 2 early home goal data 2014-2015 V 2015-2016
Posted on: May 9th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark
In League 2 last season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 64% ended over 2.5 goals and 37% ended over 3.5 goals
Both team scored in 58% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 57%
The home teams won 72%, 18% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 10%
1-0 half time to the home team with the early home goal metric . league 2 2014-2015 > 86% ended a home win and 62% ended under 2.5 goals.
This season in League 2 where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band, 77% ended over 2.5 goals and 54% ended over 3.5 goals
Both team scored in 70% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 72%
The home teams won 63%, 14% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 23%
1-0 half time to the home teams in the table below, 62.5% ended a home win and 62.5% ended under 2.5 goals
44% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes
GAME PATHWAY ( 2015-2016)
3/57 1-0 FT
> 1-1 20/57 <> 3-6-11 <> home teams won 15%
> 2-0 34/57 <> 30-2-2 <> home teams won 88%
“In this masterwork Pullein explains how you can work out what is likely to happen …. Kevin Pullein is the leading football commentator for the Racing Post. … for instance, a team which is losing by 0-1 is 6% more likely to score the next goal “
In league 2 in games where the home team open the scoring 0-10 minutes it is the home team that will be more likely to score the 2nd goal.
The Effect of the Early Away Goal in League 2 : 2014-2015 V 2015-2016 League 2 Early Away Goal Data and Analysis
Posted on: May 15th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark
This season in league 2 in games where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band, 77% ended over 2.5 goals and 49% ended over 3.5 goals.
Both teams scored in 85% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 70%
The home teams won 17%, 22% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 61%
40% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes
0-1 half time added to the early away goal in the table below 5-3-20 <> away team won 71% and 54% over 2.5 goals
1-1 half time added to the early away goal metric in League 2 ( opening goal by the away team in the 0-20 minutes time band ) in the table below > 78% ended over 2.5 goals, the home teams won 18%, 30% ended a draw and the away teams won 52%
GAME PATHWAY
3/92 0-1 FT
51/92 > 1-1 13-12-26 <> away teams won 51%
38/92 > 0-2 3-8-27 <> away teams won 71%
In League 2 in the regular season in 2014-2015 where the away teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-20 minutes time band, 66% of games ended over 2.5 goals and 37.5% ended over 3.5 goals.
The home teams won 22.5%, 17.5% ended a draw and the away teams won 60% < lowered expectation of a draw but some expectation of the home team fighting back as a result of the early away goal metric in League 2.
Both teams scored in 79% and over 1.5 goals in the first half was landed in 64% of the games.
0-1 half time added to the early away goal event league 2 2014-2015 > 2-1 0-2 0-2 0-2 1-2 0-1 0-1 3-1 0-2 1-1 1-2 2-2 2-3 1-1 0-1 0-2 1-2 0-1 1-2 1-1 1-1 3-2 0-1 2-1 1-1 0-1 1-1 1-2 0-1 < 62% ended UNDER 2.5 goals and 24% ended a DRAW.
1-1 half time added to the early away goal metric in League 2 2014-2015 ( opening goal by the away team in the 0-20 minutes time band ) > 2-1 1-1 2-1 1-1 1-2 2-3 1-1 1-1 2-1 2-1 2-1 1-2 1-2 2-3 1-2 2-1 2-1 2-1 2-2 < 79% ended over 2.5 goals, the home teams won 42%, 26% ended a draw and the away teams won 32%.
A response to the early goal and NEWPORT
Newport at home in league 2 when opening the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band
2-0 1-2 1-4 2-0 1-1 3-2 2-0 2-3
when opening the scoring away in the league in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-1 2-1 4-1 1-2 0-1 4-3 1-4 1-2 0-1 2-3 1-3 2-2 0-1 4-1 3-3
3/23 ended a draw
how does the time of the opening goal in an individual league effect expectation of accuracy as time decays ?
2-0 1-2 1-4 2-0 1-1 3-2 2-0 2-3
when opening the scoring away in the league in the 0-20 minutes time band
2-1 2-1 4-1 1-2 0-1 4-3 1-4 1-2 0-1 2-3 1-3 2-2 0-1 4-1 3-3
3/23 ended a draw
how does the time of the opening goal in an individual league effect expectation of accuracy as time decays ?
