Celta early away goal and > 1-1
on 40 minutes we have the following prices >
6/4 8/5 13/5
Posted on: January 22nd, 2017
In the table below I have added the last 50 games in La Liga where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 minutes and 1-1 half time , 88% ended over 2.5 goals and 44% ended over 3.5 goals .
29-11-10 home teams won 58%
GAME PATHWAY
6/50 1-1 FT
> 2-1 29/50 27-2-0 <> home teams won 93%
> 1-2 15/50 2-3-10 <> away teams won 67%
3/50 ended 2-2
In play analysis from JonnyG Via the time of the opening goal / survival analysis / fightback analysis
1'
Mateo Cassierra
1 - 0
12'
Robert Muric
2 - 0
52'
Robert Muric
3 - 0
57'
3 - 1
Perr Schuurs
60'
3 - 2
Lisandro Semedo
75'
Dennis Johnsen
4 - 2
in 2014 the racing post advised that the opening goal on 1 minute does not lead to a landslide of goals
in general it does
Mateo Cassierra
1 - 0
12'
Robert Muric
2 - 0
52'
Robert Muric
3 - 0
57'
3 - 1
Perr Schuurs
60'
3 - 2
Lisandro Semedo
75'
Dennis Johnsen
4 - 2
in 2014 the racing post advised that the opening goal on 1 minute does not lead to a landslide of goals
in general it does
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 1
NEC View events More info
0 - 1
11' S. Braken
S. Hendriks 14'
1 - 1
this game not in line with expectation
Last 50 games in Holland Jupiler where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 1-1 HT
20-17-13 > away teams won 26%
1/0,26% = 3.85
42/50 over 2.5 goals = 84% , 1/0.84 = 1.19
50% over 3.5 goals = Evens
30% over 4.5 goals = 3.33
average goal production = 3.74
1 - 1
NEC View events More info
0 - 1
11' S. Braken
S. Hendriks 14'
1 - 1
this game not in line with expectation
Last 50 games in Holland Jupiler where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 1-1 HT
20-17-13 > away teams won 26%
1/0,26% = 3.85
42/50 over 2.5 goals = 84% , 1/0.84 = 1.19
50% over 3.5 goals = Evens
30% over 4.5 goals = 3.33
average goal production = 3.74
you will not find better free in play analysis on social media > I am a genius <
what is incredible > the betting industry in play algorithm does not factor the effect of the time of the opening goal added to game state
at HT no 3rd goal was offered at 5/2 < given events of first half = 85% + expectation of over 2.5 goals
> when you look at 1-1 Ht spreadsheets = useless if you dont factor which team opened the scoring and the time of the opening goal <
at HT no 3rd goal was offered at 5/2 < given events of first half = 85% + expectation of over 2.5 goals
> when you look at 1-1 Ht spreadsheets = useless if you dont factor which team opened the scoring and the time of the opening goal <
2-1jonnyg wrote: ↑Fri Aug 25, 2017 9:42 pmCelta early away goal and > 1-1
on 40 minutes we have the following prices >
6/4 8/5 13/5
Posted on: January 22nd, 2017
In the table below I have added the last 50 games in La Liga where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 minutes and 1-1 half time , 88% ended over 2.5 goals and 44% ended over 3.5 goals .
29-11-10 home teams won 58%
GAME PATHWAY
6/50 1-1 FT
> 2-1 29/50 27-2-0 <> home teams won 93%
> 1-2 15/50 2-3-10 <> away teams won 67%
3/50 ended 2-2
Feel free to post on your own thread, but please stop trying to highjack others and mass copying and pasting the same info. People can decide if they want to read this thread or not and you can encourage that by posting decent content. But if you highjack other threads and try and drown out discussion the moderators will ban you.
LeTiss wrote: ↑Fri Aug 25, 2017 6:59 pm
That's a lovely touch there JonnyG - Wacker now 3-0 up
indeed
next I advised Betis draw no bet at HT
Real Betis
2 - 1
Celta de Vigo View events More info
0 - 1
10' M. Gómez
Sergio León 31'
1 - 1
Z. Feddal 77'
2 - 1
have a look at the opening goal by away team in La Liga 0-20 minutes and 1-1 HT >
1. lowered expectation of an away win >
2. if goes to > 2-1 pathway = monster high % end a home win
3. 2-2 FT in this profile is very rare >
consider how many people are offering free in play analysis on social media at such a high level for free > I think I am the only one
I gave 100% winners last night and Pete is not happy my mate Dave was delighted
back in a few weeks > love you
That's a lovely touch there JonnyG - Wacker now 3-0 up
indeed
next I advised Betis draw no bet at HT
Real Betis
2 - 1
Celta de Vigo View events More info
0 - 1
10' M. Gómez
Sergio León 31'
1 - 1
Z. Feddal 77'
2 - 1
have a look at the opening goal by away team in La Liga 0-20 minutes and 1-1 HT >
1. lowered expectation of an away win >
2. if goes to > 2-1 pathway = monster high % end a home win
3. 2-2 FT in this profile is very rare >
consider how many people are offering free in play analysis on social media at such a high level for free > I think I am the only one
I gave 100% winners last night and Pete is not happy my mate Dave was delighted
back in a few weeks > love you
Premier League in games where the away team open the scoring in 40-HT time band and 0-1 HT
last 25
1-4-20
away teams won 80% = 1/4
GAME PATHWAY
6/25 0-1 FT
11/25 > 0-2 0-0-11
8/25 > 1-1 1-4-3
48% over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace
0 - 2
Swansea City View events More info
0 - 1
44' T. Abraham
0 - 2
48' J. Ayew
last 25
1-4-20
away teams won 80% = 1/4
GAME PATHWAY
6/25 0-1 FT
11/25 > 0-2 0-0-11
8/25 > 1-1 1-4-3
48% over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace
0 - 2
Swansea City View events More info
0 - 1
44' T. Abraham
0 - 2
48' J. Ayew
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 2
Manchester City View events More info
C. Daniels 13'
1 - 0
1 - 1
21' Gabriel Jesus
1 - 2
90' R. Sterling
2014-2015 season in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes , the home teams won 53% < some expectation of the away teams fighting back , and the average goal production was 3.3 > some expectation of acceleration of goal production
2015-2016 season in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes , the home teams won 53% , and the average goal production was 4.00
2016-2017 in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes
28-3-4 > home teams won 80%
43% produced a goal 80 + minutes
average goal production = 3.69
1 - 2
Manchester City View events More info
C. Daniels 13'
1 - 0
1 - 1
21' Gabriel Jesus
1 - 2
90' R. Sterling
2014-2015 season in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes , the home teams won 53% < some expectation of the away teams fighting back , and the average goal production was 3.3 > some expectation of acceleration of goal production
2015-2016 season in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes , the home teams won 53% , and the average goal production was 4.00
2016-2017 in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes
28-3-4 > home teams won 80%
43% produced a goal 80 + minutes
average goal production = 3.69