Sunderland

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
max_usted
Posts: 133
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2017 6:07 pm

northbound wrote:
Fri Apr 27, 2018 4:09 pm
Fulham scored a grand total of 1 goal in the opening 15min in their home games this season, conceding 0.

A trading idea could be to lay them before the match with a view to closing the trade after 15min.
Would have worked well.
weemac
Posts: 1240
Joined: Mon Sep 16, 2013 8:16 pm

I backed under 1.5 goals at about 7.8 pre-match as a proxy for 0-0, 0-1 and 1-0, and had traded the majority of it out before the goal. Let's see if we can get to half time at 0-1 and then I'll complete the green-up. Thanks for the heads-up guys - it was a good trade idea whichever way you played it.
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BetScalper
Posts: 1139
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:47 pm

I did as I originally said and layed Fulham at 1.21 and got out after the goal at 1.87.

As always, wished I had layed them for more but a good trade to end the day.

Good luck, whichever way you played it. :)
weemac
Posts: 1240
Joined: Mon Sep 16, 2013 8:16 pm

Typical, the equaliser comes in the 45th minute. Wish I'd laid Fulham instead, but you assess the risks and play accordingly, so no complaints.
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BetScalper
Posts: 1139
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I am going to use half the profit I made and lay Fulham again at 1.46.
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BetScalper
Posts: 1139
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Out at 1.75, the Rum is calling. :)
max_usted
Posts: 133
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2017 6:07 pm

Backed Fulham at 1.8 - this been a good game for all of us, it would seem.
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BetScalper
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max_usted wrote:
Fri Apr 27, 2018 9:26 pm
Backed Fulham at 1.8 - this been a good game for all of us, it would seem.
I'll drink to that. :)
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ruthlessimon
Posts: 2094
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm

max_usted wrote:
Fri Apr 27, 2018 9:26 pm
Backed Fulham at 1.8 - this been a good game for all of us, it would seem.
Their 2nd was 4mins too early ;)
weemac
Posts: 1240
Joined: Mon Sep 16, 2013 8:16 pm

A couple of posters seemed to be too worried or scared to get involved. I used to be that way too.
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Kafkaesque
Posts: 886
Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:20 am

weemac wrote:
Fri Apr 27, 2018 6:37 pm
I see no reason to be worried about anything. When identifying a possible good value lay at 1/5, what's to worry about? The worry's already priced in, surely?

I just don't get this analysis to the nth degree. If you don't like it, don't risk a penny on it.
Agreed, all pros, cons, and worries are clearly included in any current price. Considering reasons why the price might come in or drift has no place in trading.
weemac wrote:
Fri Apr 27, 2018 9:32 pm
A couple of posters seemed to be too worried or scared to get involved. I used to be that way too.
I missed the chance to get involved, as you guys made some great "trades" with liability being left out there for a full half or large portions thereof. An opportunity where a lay was being touted and taken at 1.21/1.22, while trading at 1.19 at KO, and an under which kept drifting towards KO.

I can live with being called too worried, scared or anything else you'd fancy, when passing on a negative EV spot, which happened to produce positive variance.
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brimson25
Posts: 504
Joined: Sat Apr 08, 2017 11:42 am

Game went as I expected. As Peter says, outsiders score more than people think.

If this was on twitter, I think I'd risk a BOOM but I didn't actually tip anything. Not that doesn't seem to worry most of those guys.

So, If anyone would like to join my £300 tipping service, please feel free to set your money on fire and send me the ashes at this postal address..... :lol:
mobius
Posts: 203
Joined: Wed Oct 18, 2017 10:15 am

You may have to rename this topic. They've only gone and sold the club...........
AFKAP(S)??????
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LeTiss
Posts: 5386
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

mobius wrote:
Sun Apr 29, 2018 2:48 pm
You may have to rename this topic. They've only gone and sold the club...........
AFKAP(S)??????
Yes, Man City got bought by the ruling family of Abu Dhabi......Sunderland got bought by the fella that owns Eastleigh FC :lol:
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brimson25
Posts: 504
Joined: Sat Apr 08, 2017 11:42 am

Yes. I worry that we're about to test the propersition that anything is better than the last lot.
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