fast moving market
It's more time decay, but the final few minutes of a match or even injury time, unders or correct score can move 5-10 ticks in less than a minute. Quite often see odds 1.2-1.25 drop to 1.1 -1.5 very quickly, full loss if a goal of course!
Or if earlier in the game, then the current score usually moves quicker than anything else. Scalping under 2.5 is popular and can make around 10% first 10 mins, suffering a 80% loss if a goal (or let run!!)But 0-0 can drop 20-25% in same amount of time in certain games, full loss if goal though obviously!
Or if earlier in the game, then the current score usually moves quicker than anything else. Scalping under 2.5 is popular and can make around 10% first 10 mins, suffering a 80% loss if a goal (or let run!!)But 0-0 can drop 20-25% in same amount of time in certain games, full loss if goal though obviously!
With so few goals scored in a typical football match the current score price whatever it happens to be in the correct score market decays fairly quickly because most of the minutes that pass no-one is scoring - you can scalp it at your peril - you'll certainly get some excitement and are bound to go in one too many times - make sure you don't over rely on a delayed commentry.
- Kafkaesque
- Posts: 886
- Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:20 am
As Jukebox has already touched upon correct score, or alternatively over/under equal to the current score ie. over/under 0.5 goals with no goals, over/under 1.5 with one goal etc. is probably where you find the fastest decay. Slightly slower, but also often fast decay one goal higher ie. 1.5 with no goals etc. Although a note is that fairly small prices obviously moves slower, especially early in matches.
You aren't the first (myself amongst it) and won't be the last to look towards this approach in their early trading days. Of course it can be a successful strategy. Just don't assume, it's easy pickings and a process that can be done without a sound approachment going in. A fast decay always comes with equal amounts of reversed risks in either a large swing in price against or an out-and-out losing position.
You aren't the first (myself amongst it) and won't be the last to look towards this approach in their early trading days. Of course it can be a successful strategy. Just don't assume, it's easy pickings and a process that can be done without a sound approachment going in. A fast decay always comes with equal amounts of reversed risks in either a large swing in price against or an out-and-out losing position.