The match itself is priced for a low scoring affair with a slight edge to Athletico. The market is pricing in a paltry 2.40 goals, which means the draw should be a likely result for 90mins. I predict if you played this match 100 times the average time of the first goal would be around 34 minutes. There is around an 8% chance of a goal between 0-10 minutes.
We found a total of 134 matches on our database which had very similar characteristics to this match. Over these matches an average of 2.33 goals where scored with a 0.50 advantage to the shorter priced team (Ahletico in this case). 45% ended as home wins, 22% away wins and 32% draws. 61% of the time these matches produced under 2.50 goals, pricing the unders market around 1.64.
Trading the draw and scenarios based on a lack of goals / early goals seems a sensible option tonight.
Athelico Madrid vs Fulham
-
Online Trader
- Posts: 211
- Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:13 am
I will be dutching the correct score with a view to trading out after 20-25 mins
0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1 should see a profit from that
0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1 should see a profit from that
-
enzabella2009
- Posts: 747
- Joined: Tue Nov 03, 2009 3:58 pm
Hi petardo, 30 days to the world cup...dont forget that. O-U 1.5 O-U 2.5 0-U 3.5 0-U 4.5 CS, MO, HTCS, HTMO, etc etc. Pleanty of money and safier oppurtunitys twice a day for 30 days...the good thing of prematch tradings is that you can watch the match relaxed...I can`t wait..
Safe money
)