What is the best Poisson distribution calculator on line?

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
Post Reply
nivi7
Posts: 163
Joined: Mon Jul 01, 2019 9:53 pm

spreadbetting wrote:
Tue Jul 16, 2019 6:20 pm


Your best bet is to simply set up the poisson distribution in excel and start working out your own total goals and supremacy figures
the question is how can i engage more parameters than expected goals on the poisson calculator
spreadbetting
Posts: 3140
Joined: Sun Jan 31, 2010 8:06 pm

What others parameters? Your poisson distribution is calculated from the expected goals and no other data. Any other parameters , like team selection etc would be used to calculate your initial expected goals not go into a poisson calculator. You might tweak the distribution probabilities after calculating to take into account known errors with poisson and football.

There are plenty of academic papers regarding poisson and football scores using univariate or bivariate distributions. You should read a few of those as they've put in the hard work for you and all available from Google searches.
nivi7
Posts: 163
Joined: Mon Jul 01, 2019 9:53 pm

spreadbetting wrote:
Wed Jul 17, 2019 12:02 am
What others parameters? Your poisson distribution is calculated from the expected goals and no other data.

my bad
Post Reply

Return to “Football trading”