10 mins before kick off I placed a lay bet on the home team at 1.98. I then opened up SM to see what the predicted price would be if the home team was 1 goal down at halftime, it predicted the price would be a tad higher than 7. I thought that seemed a bit high but just closed the window and started to watch the game.
By halftime the home team was losing 2-1 but instead of being around 7's it was sat at 2.88.
Can someone explain as to why there was such a gulf in differance?
Or have I messed up somewhere.
My signal at the time was 4/5.
Thanks
Soccer mystic question
-
Kafkaesque
- Posts: 886
- Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:20 am
It would be easier to answer, if you provided something as basic as which match it is.parbynat wrote: ↑Thu Jun 11, 2020 7:59 pm10 mins before kick off I placed a lay bet on the home team at 1.98. I then opened up SM to see what the predicted price would be if the home team was 1 goal down at halftime, it predicted the price would be a tad higher than 7. I thought that seemed a bit high but just closed the window and started to watch the game.
By halftime the home team was losing 2-1 but instead of being around 7's it was sat at 2.88.
Can someone explain as to why there was such a gulf in differance?
Or have I messed up somewhere.
My signal at the time was 4/5.
Thanks
1.98 pre (if that was the kickoff price), and 2,88 at 1-2 HT, then off the top of my head, I can only think of three scenarios.
1) One or more red cards to the away team
2) The home was dominating to the extent that they're coming in wave after wave and looking like scoring on every one of those occasions. Would have to be pretty crazy domination to be that price at HT
3) The match is fixed.