US Open Tennis 2015

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Euler
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Bet365 have loads of streaming video compared to Betfair.
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LeTiss
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I always leave £1 in my Bet365 account

This gives me access to their live feeds, and quite frankly, they knock the socks off every other company
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Euler
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Nothing like getting out of the zone: -

ESPN crosses a line at U.S. Open with mid-match tennis player interviews

http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-us- ... olumn.html
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Euler
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Euler
Posts: 24806
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Location: Bet Angel HQ

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Euler
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Fried Fish, traded at 1.06 but couldn't go any further in his last match.
PeterLe
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Euler wrote:Fried Fish, traded at 1.06 but couldn't go any further in his last match.
Pity you couldnt have backed him for a plaice? :D
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Kai
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Coco goes nuts after she loses the first set and smashes her racket.

http://hollywoodlife.com/2015/09/02/coc ... ideo-2015/

Image
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Euler
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Switch to the Konta / Muguruza match now
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Euler
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Jo Konta does it, defeating Muguruza. Fantastic performance.
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LeTiss
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Jack Sock whilst winning 2 sets 1, passes out in the heat and retires

What an absolute disaster for some traders that must have been. I bet some people done their bollocks on that
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Euler
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Murray having a shocker, could be about to got two sets down!
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Euler
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2-0 in the third to Murray and his price plummets from 1.87 to 1.36
lsmiles
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I'm hoping that the knowledgeable amongst you can tell me if I'm barking up the wrong tree here.

I was watching Kovinic v Schmiedlova. At the start of the 3rd set Schiemdlova was trading at 1.55 a 64.5% chance of winning the match.

The stats on Tennis Insight show Schmiedlova in deciding sets over the last 10 games was,
All surfaces > 8-2, 80% or 1.25,
Hardcourt > 6-4, 60% or 1.66.

Adding the player SP filter to 1.20 to 1.499 and I got the following
All Surfaces > 9-1, 90% or 1.11
Hardcourt > 5-0, 100% or 1.00


I was left asking myself which is most appropriate to use, maybe none of them, maybe I should be applying further filters, should it be over a larger sample size? I wanted to avoid results spread over too long a period of time on the basis that Schmiedlova is a young upcoming player with results getting better and better match by match and this may skew the results.

My gut feel was that because of her recent run of form the last 10 games across all surfaces would be the best yard stick and therefore there would be value in backing Schmiedlova at the start of the 3rd set.

Thoughts?
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Euler
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Betfair have lost the live score feed on the Tennis!

It has bombed the sportsbook, but the exchange is still OK apart from the scores.
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