Tennis trading Strategy

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MemphisFlash
Posts: 2128
Joined: Fri May 16, 2014 10:12 pm
Location: Leicester

This trade only happen on the players service game - the particular player is selected at the start of the match and does not change.

The strategy is based on players with strong projected service holds e.g djokovic.
0-30 0r 15-40 down,His price is 1.5, if he goes 0-30 or 15-40 down, will be 1.7, because we know his projected hold is above average we want to back him at these scores.

Scenario 1 is where he pulls back to 30-30 or 40-40, his price will be 1.55. we want to lay 40% of the initial back stake on this score. At the end of the game we green out.

Scenario 2 is where the lay criteria are not met and he loses the game, Green (red) out.

Reset for next game.

15-0 no action
30-0 no action
40-0 no action
15-15 no action
30-15 no action
40-15 no action
30-30 lay server 40% of back stake ONLY if back bet is in place
30-40 no action
40-30 no action
40-40 lay server 40%of back stake ONLY if back bet is in place and no lay bet has been made at 30-30
A-40 no action
40-A no action



0-15 no action
0-30 back server only if we have identifed player we want to trade at start of match
0-40 no action
15-15 no action
15-30 no action
15-40 back serveronly if we have identified player we want to trade at start of match
30-30 lay server 40% of back stake ONLY if back bet is in place
40-30 no action
30-40 no action
40-40 lay server 40% of back stake ONLY if back bet is in place and no lay bet has been made at 30-30
40-A no action
A-40 no action


End of game - Green all if back bet

Reset

Back stake can be £50, £100, £200
Lay stake 40% of Back stake.


Question is can all this be automated in guardian?
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Dallas
Posts: 22674
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm
Location: Working From Home

I use a guardian rule that does mostly what you requested except for the 40% part, i dont think its possible to take a percentage of the stake out via guardian.

Possibly you could place the 40% as a triggered lay bet rather than using a trade out rule then just trading the rest out as a close trade/green up rule.

The rule i have places the bet on any player serving providing odds are within a certain range for the back bet (think i have it under 2.2) - this can be changed to a selected player from each game.

The scores i have used are 0-30 & 15-30 scenarios (15-40 can replace 15-30 or be added in addition).

The rule then backs if the server is down any of the above scores (but rule only allows one back bet bet so if it has already placed a back at 0-30 it does not place if the socre becomes 15-30 but will place at 15-30 if no back was placed at 0-30) it then trades out start of next game for either a green or red profit and resets

I can send you the rule as it is or see if i can amend it for you when i can a moment
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MemphisFlash
Posts: 2128
Joined: Fri May 16, 2014 10:12 pm
Location: Leicester

yes please, i have sent you a private message
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bologna29
Posts: 15
Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2015 7:43 pm
Location: Slovenia

Hey Dallas,

can you send me please the rule above to checked it out, I'm trying to put something similar in Guardian together?

Cheers mate from Slovenia
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bologna29
Posts: 15
Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2015 7:43 pm
Location: Slovenia

Hey MF,

sorry but correct me if I'm wrong, ok.
If you put a back bet on server when the score is 15-40 and he lose next point, it's goin to be break of serve. Odds are gonna go high and you're fu...d up.

So in my opinion 15-40 is not a good choise, becouse you don't have any exit point. It needs to be 0-30 or 15-30, then you still have the chance to escape red numbers or I'm wrong??

Cheers
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Dallas
Posts: 22674
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm
Location: Working From Home

bologna29 wrote:Hey Dallas,

can you send me please the rule above to checked it out, I'm trying to put something similar in Guardian together?

Cheers mate from Slovenia
Ill have to check to see if i have a backup copy of how it was back then otherwise remake it again.
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bologna29
Posts: 15
Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2015 7:43 pm
Location: Slovenia

Perfect mate, appreciate very mucho.... ;)

Cheers
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Dallas
Posts: 22674
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm
Location: Working From Home

I have had to make a fresh file for you, if you PM me your email address ill send it across for you.
jkirley
Posts: 31
Joined: Mon Jul 11, 2016 9:05 pm

Guys,

Was the rule you discussed about one of the ones posted in the tennis bot forum? Just wondering? Looks a great strategy

Cheers
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Dallas
Posts: 22674
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm
Location: Working From Home

jkirley wrote:Guys,

Was the rule you discussed about one of the ones posted in the tennis bot forum? Just wondering? Looks a great strategy

Cheers
No this one was part of some stuff i done with Memphisflash last year, if i still have a copy kicking about somewhere and i find it ill upload it later.
jkirley
Posts: 31
Joined: Mon Jul 11, 2016 9:05 pm

that would be most welcome mate
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Niko
Posts: 282
Joined: Thu Dec 01, 2016 9:36 am

I have a similar rule that backs the fave on their service game at 15:0. Problem I am finding is if I have all the greyhound and horse races open in guardian I think my tennis rules are being missed?? Is this possible?
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