Tennis trader

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98lewisj
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Joined: Fri Nov 08, 2013 4:17 am

I have looked at the manual but need some advice on how to best tune the tennis trader seeding settings for a particular match. I cant seem to find the answers any ware. I appreciate its a only a guide but i am finding it to be well off in some circumstances, even with calibrating it after most points when the money has hit the market and the score has updated from the scores API. Any help with setting the seeding values would be great. Even if it is as basic as if the market loves player A adjust the seed value by a few % etc. Thanks
98lewisj
Posts: 116
Joined: Fri Nov 08, 2013 4:17 am

Anyone? Cheers
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Euler
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I'll post when I have the time
98lewisj
Posts: 116
Joined: Fri Nov 08, 2013 4:17 am

Bump
98lewisj
Posts: 116
Joined: Fri Nov 08, 2013 4:17 am

Hopefully support can help then...
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Euler
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Tennis trader fixes the prediction by looking at the chance of a player winning a point on service during the match. It fixes that and assumes it remains constant, which of course it can't. As the match develops the market will skew to one player or the other as it progresses. Most matches contain momentum.

If you calibrate near odds of 2.00 that's most accurate and least accurate at very shot odds. Don't forget it's the %'ages you are really looking at and NOT the odds.

Below 2.00 there are 100 ticks and 251 above.
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Euler
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Mathematically speaking, the formula's are near perfect. But life isn't!
98lewisj
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Thanks for that but any info on seed values and how to best adjust them for accuracy as per original question? Thanks
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Euler
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98lewisj
Posts: 116
Joined: Fri Nov 08, 2013 4:17 am

If I want to enter each players fixed calibration values I just enter my projected hold for each player? So using the Pella v Del Potro match this morning, Projected holds come out at 74.5% and 78.6%. Is the following correct? Thanks
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Euler
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That seems to be the hold for the game? The calibration values are the chance of winning a point on serve.
98lewisj
Posts: 116
Joined: Fri Nov 08, 2013 4:17 am

Ok cheers, I understand now.
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