Today's Tennis

[rik]

watched from second half 3rd set bit nuts with the injury timeout after cuevas called the supervisor out lol, schwartzman won being badly hampered lost one that well done on profit

[rik]

this market is insane.. little point backing Kuznetsova, you'll still get 1.25 after she wins. can only think that someone somewhere thinks they know something about her fitness/health/motivation.

have your own model for expected price? betangel seems to be always way off

[Trading96]

I expect this market to be volatile pre off

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/t ... .168839742

[Nero Tulip]

this market is insane.. little point backing Kuznetsova, you'll still get 1.25 after she wins. can only think that someone somewhere thinks they know something about her fitness/health/motivation.

have your own model for expected price? betangel seems to be always way off

yes and yes, mine too is often a long way off. But reality is slippery, random and probablistic.. punishes stubborn, brittle and fragile ideas, rewards the fleet of foot and observant. Models are probablistic guesses, in my experience, it's ok to be wrong and to keep guessing, you lose some and you win some... an added dimension to how you view models working is important.

looking forward to the return of Clijsters, plenty of happy memories trading her matches.

[rik]

right got 48 on clijsters 2-3 down second set, lets go

[ec0n0mist]

looking ominous for Pavs in Dubai

[sniffer66]

looking ominous for Pavs in Dubai

Terrible first but got a cheap (low stake) lay on in the 2nd, which paid off

[rik]

lost first 19 points of the match then on a run of 10 straight games interesting match that

[rik]

looking ominous for Pavs in Dubai

Terrible first but got a cheap (low stake) lay on in the 2nd, which paid off

what do you mean paid off, you traded out of that??

[ec0n0mist]

looking ominous for Pavs in Dubai

Terrible first but got a cheap (low stake) lay on in the 2nd, which paid off

Well done! Certainly braver than I am. Couldn't get myself to back someone (even though Pavs has been impressive of late) who lost the first 19 consecutive points vs a defending champ

[sniffer66]

looking ominous for Pavs in Dubai

Terrible first but got a cheap (low stake) lay on in the 2nd, which paid off

what do you mean paid off, you traded out of that??

Was 1.19 lay on Ben. Pav has had a strong start to the season and Ben not at her best previously. Liability was small at 1.19. I greened up at set price. Didnt put a huge amount on, given the 1st. Pav couldnt do any worse though.

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[ec0n0mist]

Terrible first but got a cheap (low stake) lay on in the 2nd, which paid off

what do you mean paid off, you traded out of that??

Was 1.19 lay on Ben. Pav has had a strong start to the season and Ben not at her best previously. Liability was small at 1.19. I greened up at set price. Didnt put a huge amount on, given the 1st. Pav couldnt do any worse though.

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Nice.

Any thoughts on Yastremska vs Kudermetova match? You laying Yastremska with the double break here?

[sniffer66]

what do you mean paid off, you traded out of that??

Was 1.19 lay on Ben. Pav has had a strong start to the season and Ben not at her best previously. Liability was small at 1.19. I greened up at set price. Didnt put a huge amount on, given the 1st. Pav couldnt do any worse though.

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Nice.

Any thoughts on Yastremska vs Kudermetova match? You laying Yastremska with the double break here?

I'm out with profit on Yas in the 1st set. left the bot on it as was working. It drip backed her then greened up. I tend not to trade 3rd sets. Try to make it all in the 1st and 2nd

[ec0n0mist]

Was 1.19 lay on Ben. Pav has had a strong start to the season and Ben not at her best previously. Liability was small at 1.19. I greened up at set price. Didnt put a huge amount on, given the 1st. Pav couldnt do any worse though.

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Nice.

Any thoughts on Yastremska vs Kudermetova match? You laying Yastremska with the double break here?

I'm out with profit on Yas in the 1st set. left the bot on it as was working. It drip backed her then greened up. I tend not to trade 3rd sets. Try to make it all in the 1st and 2nd

Nice. Just greened up as well @ 1.83 ( 5-5 ) after the double break back. Laid Yastremska with the double break @ 5-2 lead seeing as she gotten broken 3 times in both sets prior fairly easily (hoping law of averages would come into play down the wire )

[sniffer66]

Nice.

Any thoughts on Yastremska vs Kudermetova match? You laying Yastremska with the double break here?

I'm out with profit on Yas in the 1st set. left the bot on it as was working. It drip backed her then greened up. I tend not to trade 3rd sets. Try to make it all in the 1st and 2nd

Nice. Just greened up as well @ 1.83 ( 5-5 ) after the double break back. Laid Yastremska with the double break @ 5-2 lead seeing as she gotten broken 3 times in both sets prior

Nice. Decent comeback by Kud