Trading Golf : US Masters 2018

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henbet22
Posts: 58
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

Sat Apr 07, 2018 10:36 am

Looking ahead to Sunday. Possible chance of course record. Low scoring extremely likely. Would normally be happy to take on Thomas, Spieth and Johnson but with low rounds coming someone can make a massive surge. (Statistically probably an american)
Today think Reed will shoot 70-73...... which ultimately should help his winning chances come Sunday but probably not his price today unless high scores dominate. This 70-73 prediction is there to be shot at as with the weather the course may be playing very hard. If he shoots low then I will look to lay him as he will have to hold off the aggressive high ranked players and would be in a tough spot.....If he wins it with 4 sub 70 rounds then hats off. Leishman Stenson and especially McIlroy well placed. Looking forward to today!! Hope it doesn't spill into Monday. All the above just my opinion. Often wrong-sometimes right!!! :D

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Crazyskier
Posts: 564
Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm

Sat Apr 07, 2018 12:19 pm

henbet22 wrote:
Sat Apr 07, 2018 10:36 am
Looking ahead to Sunday. Possible chance of course record. Low scoring extremely likely. Would normally be happy to take on Thomas, Spieth and Johnson but with low rounds coming someone can make a massive surge. (Statistically probably an american)
Today think Reed will shoot 70-73...... which ultimately should help his winning chances come Sunday but probably not his price today unless high scores dominate. This 70-73 prediction is there to be shot at as with the weather the course may be playing very hard. If he shoots low then I will look to lay him as he will have to hold off the aggressive high ranked players and would be in a tough spot.....If he wins it with 4 sub 70 rounds then hats off. Leishman Stenson and especially McIlroy well placed. Looking forward to today!! Hope it doesn't spill into Monday. All the above just my opinion. Often wrong-sometimes right!!! :D
I agree but made a few pounds laying to back Reed and will continue with this strategy today as I can't possibly see him holding off the likes of Speith, Rory, Stenman and even Leishman if he continues to putt as well as he did yesterday...

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Euler
Posts: 19755
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
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Sat Apr 07, 2018 2:05 pm

Positive movers to the cut: -

Jordan Spieth - 11.5 to 3.2 : £25.94
Rory McIlroy - 12.5 to 6.6 : £8.94
Phil Mickelson - 21 to 18 : £1.67
Rickie Fowler - 30 to 24 : £2.50
Henrik Stenson - 50 to 20 : £15.00
Matt Kuchar - 65 to 18.5 : £25.14
Patrick Reed - 70 to 30 : £13.33
Marc Leishman - 80 to 50 : £6.00
Charley Hoffman - 140 to 50 : £18.00
Rafael Cabrera Bello - 160 to 50 : £22.00
Zach Johnson - 200 to 75 : £16.67
Adam Hadwin - 220 to 65 : £23.85
Cameron Smith - 220 to 200 : £1.00
Tony Finau - 330 to 40 : £72.50
Haotong Li - 380 to 70 : £44.29
Bernd Wiesberger - 610 to 200 : £20.50
Satoshi Kodaira - 1000 to 720 : £3.89

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Euler
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Sat Apr 07, 2018 2:16 pm

Weather conditions will be much worse later on so you would think that would adversely affect reed.

StellaBot
Posts: 532
Joined: Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:52 am

Sat Apr 07, 2018 4:27 pm

Euler is it possible to explain please
I. The shortening of prices.Jordan Spieth - 11.5 to 3.2
2. The £s amount Jordan Spieth £25.94

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Dallas
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Sat Apr 07, 2018 4:49 pm

Its how much you make backing with £10 stakes and laying at the cut

StellaBot
Posts: 532
Joined: Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:52 am

Sat Apr 07, 2018 5:21 pm

Thanks Dallas
I assume(or state the obvious) therefore most players would have drifted out in price?.
OK this info may help me for an ante post horse racing bot.
Last edited by StellaBot on Sat Apr 07, 2018 6:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.

weemac
Posts: 596
Joined: Mon Sep 16, 2013 8:16 pm

Sat Apr 07, 2018 5:27 pm

StellaBot wrote:
Sat Apr 07, 2018 5:21 pm
Thanks Dalla
I assume(or state the obvious) therefore most players would have drifted out in price?.
OK this info may help me for an ante post horse racing bot.
I wouldn't recommend it stella, without inside info.

StellaBot
Posts: 532
Joined: Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:52 am

Sat Apr 07, 2018 6:21 pm

Thanks weemac.
I was thinking more say few days before.
Antepost was wrong terminology by myself.
To give an example. One year it was heavy going in grand national. Well known a few days before
I bought a newspaper (known historically for page 3)for free bet purposes.
There was a centre fold pull out.
In it had I think 4 criteria and a 1 star mark for each.
So eg gets distance =1star
1.Distance
2. ground
3.jumping ability(ie doesnt fall or pull up)
4.class

I went through the field and ticked or non ticked each horse.
Left with 4 horses.
3 were above 20/1
1 was 14/1 which won.

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Dallas
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Sat Apr 07, 2018 9:10 pm

Mcilroy going from strength to strength

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