US Open 2019
I have blundered badly in the golf, I don't think Gary Woodland wins but what if I'm wrong?
I also do not cherry pick what screenshots I display and I certainly do not falsify.
I also do not cherry pick what screenshots I display and I certainly do not falsify.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Indeed Henbet I have decided I don't need many hours consideration, I have made a full red out. It's the right thing to do even though I still think Woodland blows up.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
The contenders other the last pairing make no in roads early and Rose drives into the thick rough off the 1st after Woodland bombs it down the centre of the fairway precipitating a plunge on him..
That is why I had to red out.
I am eager to cut that red down below £100 that is my goal for this evening. Had my 90 minute nap & looking forward.
Normally a pacific time zone would be no problem but its a right nuisance this year with having to be up early for cricket.
That is why I had to red out.
I am eager to cut that red down below £100 that is my goal for this evening. Had my 90 minute nap & looking forward.
Normally a pacific time zone would be no problem but its a right nuisance this year with having to be up early for cricket.
Brooks Koepka shot in the 60s all four rounds but finished second. Koepka is the first player in U.S. Open history to shoot in the 60s all four rounds and not win. Dating to last year, he now has five straight rounds in the 60s in the U.S. Open, most of any player in championship history.
Hi Guys,1st post here so if I have posted in the wrong place please feel free to redirect me! WRT .Euler's link to the Economist EAGLE predictor On Sunday morning EAGLE was predicting a 36% win for Woodland and Rose and only a 9% win for Koepka.The odds on BF at this time were 3 for both Woodland and Rose (reflecting the predictor) Koepka was priced at 6, so I was thinking that the value was in laying Koepka but the risk was 3x what it would have been to dutch Woodland and Rose for the same reward,So my question is would it have been better to take the value (laying Koepka) or to take much less value (dutching Woodland and Rose)
Hey jaffas. Along with value think also in terms of liability and exits. Laying Koepka at 6 would be a bit risky considering the form he is showing at the moment and before long your lay at 6 is under a lot of pressure. So try to think in terms of value entries that can withstand a bit of heat before you have to cut and run. imo laying Koepka at 6 doesn't give you that because of the liability and his form and these factors offset the value you are getting in his price.....you could back him to get a bit closer to the leaders or maybe lead or win even though on the eagle base percentage you are not getting value...because it's easier to control your liability in that spot.......hope this helps.......
Thanks for your reply Henbet. I think I understand the risk/liability part of the trade but exits? Could I not trade out when the price reached a certain level? Do you calculate what it would take for the price to get to that level and is that what you mean by withstand a bit of heat? Thanks again for your reply
Jaffa
Jaffa