Masters 2014

[BJGardner]

I dutched the >100 players pre off and am still red. I hope to trade out at the cut.

[PeterLe]

I dutched the >100 players pre off and am still red. I hope to trade out at the cut.

BJ - Its worth reducing your liability on some of the front runner in the early stages.
Last year I did very well on Angel. Look at his graph this year (I know he is >800 at the moment) , but last year he went out to 970 (?) before coming back in under 4's (?)

Iast night I scalped him (and others) and I had something like £1500 green on him, a couple of hundred on Phil Mickelson etc

With a bit of luck you should be OK at the cut.
(PS If anyone is ditching these markets for less than £2 stakes, be careful. If the selection is already at 1000, you will get the full £2 matched)
Regards
Peter

[BJGardner]

Thanks Peter for the respose

(PS If anyone is ditching these markets for less than £2 stakes, be careful. If the selection is already at 1000, you will get the full £2 matched)

Yes I think Ive fallen foul of this the 1000 are lopsidedand none have come in at all, and the screen is looking a birt scary at the moment.

ButI wont tinker and will stick to the original plan I hope its green later tonight.

[Euler]

Fred Couples is such a banker at Augusta. Thought I was taking a risk on him this year but it's paid off again.

[Wildly]

Fred Couples is such a banker at Augusta. Thought I was taking a risk on him this year but it's paid off again.

Yes, more 'risk' and more banked on Freddie would have been in order. Now to manage the exits or get greedy an ignore them with bets on Couples, Senden (part exit taken), Spieth, Leishman (missed exit), and Watney.
Also on Senden at the gift price @19 for top Aus.

[Euler]

Couples is too old now to see it right through the weekend. So watch him like a Hawk and minimise exposure ahead of the closing holes. But I'd exit fully at the cut.

[Euler]

Positive movers to the cut, to £10 stakes

Start to cut - Bubba Watson - 30 to 3 - £90 : High to cut - £256.67
Start to cut - Adam Scott - 13 to 6 - £11.67 : High to cut - £28.33
Start to cut - Jordan Spieth - 55 to 15.5 - £25.48 : High to cut - £51.29
Start to cut - John Senden - 240 to 20 - £110 : High to cut - £160
Start to cut - Jimmy Walker - 75 to 22 - £24.09 : High to cut - £158.18
Start to cut - Jim Furyk - 85 to 27 - £21.48 : High to cut - £208.52
Start to cut - Thomas Bjorn - 230 to 30 - £66.67 : High to cut - £186.67
Start to cut - Jonas Blixt - 450 to 40 - £102.5 : High to cut - £172.5
Start to cut - Lee Westwood - 55 to 42 - £3.1 : High to cut - £61.43
Start to cut - Fred Couples - 170 to 50 - £24 : High to cut - £180
Start to cut - Brandt Snedeker - 55 to 50 - £1 : High to cut - £100
Start to cut - Jamie Donaldson - 160 to 60 - £16.67 : High to cut - £133.33
Start to cut - Louis Oosthuizen - 120 to 65 - £8.46 : High to cut - £16.15
Start to cut - Russell Henley - 270 to 85 - £21.76 : High to cut - £84.12
Start to cut - Kevin Stadler - 260 to 95 - £17.37 : High to cut - £95.26
Start to cut - Stephen Gallacher - 280 to 85 - £22.94 : High to cut - £66.47
Start to cut - Kevin Streelman - 460 to 110 - £31.82 : High to cut - £80.91
Start to cut - Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano - 320 to 160 - £10 : High to cut - £52.5
Start to cut - K.J. Choi - 190 to 180 - £0.56 : High to cut - £37.78
Start to cut - Lucas Glover - 1000 to 270 - £27.04 : High to cut - £27.04
Start to cut - Mike Weir - 1000 to 510 - £9.61 : High to cut - £9.61

[Euler]

It's been a good Masters, lots of top players cut.

[Euler]

Selected cut players

Phil Mickelson rank : 3 started at odds of 17
Sergio Garcia rank : 5 started at odds of 20
Dustin Johnson rank : 7 started at odds of 29
Zach Johnson rank : 10 started at odds of 38
Charl Schwartzel rank : 12 started at odds of 40
Keegan Bradley rank : 13 started at odds of 42
Jason Dufner rank : 15 started at odds of 50
Luke Donald rank : 21 started at odds of 60
Harris English rank : 22 started at odds of 60
Patrick Reed rank : 20 started at odds of 55
Graeme McDowell rank : 26 started at odds of 75
Angel Cabrera rank : 23 started at odds of 65
Webb Simpson rank : 29 started at odds of 90
Graham Delaet rank : 32 started at odds of 90
Ryan Moore rank : 33 started at odds of 95

[Euler]

Some highlights for you: -

Mickelson misses cut after bunker woe http://bbc.in/1kSbIWj

McIlroy's unlucky sprinkler shot http://bbc.in/1iaMH9z

Some great golf from Bubba - Watson leads after birdie blitz http://bbc.in/QeXGnP

[PeterLe]

Its been a good one to trade this year that's for sure
Ive just tidied it up a bit, but the dutching resulted in 112% of original stake.
I scalped the odd one and traded a few out early
Only wish I'd been a bot more aggressive on the staking!

Peter, some good tips in the blog thanks

[Consty1]

That pretty much mirrors my results PeterLe but I used such small stakes that I'm tempted to use my green to dutch again.

[PeterLe]

Hi Consty,
Just curious; I dutched 100-500, did you go higher/lower?
Im not sure I'd go back in again with a dutch at this stage if i were you? Some of the other traders may be able to advise?

From memory; last year I simply scalped the leader (lay first) and that world well. If you do that on the holes where they are likely to drop a shot, then it should be fairly safe?

Anyway good luck
Regards
Peter

PS be careful if you are greening up as some are still trading at 1000, you dont want to give any profit away at this stage..

[Euler]

82% of eventual winners have historically been within 5 shots of the lead at the start of day three. The market is currently pricing 5 from the lead at 78%.

[Consty1]

I dutched 200-600. I've left bigger profit on a couple of players but I'd like to try and get some on Bubba and Scott but not at current odds.