Scalpy by Psychoff

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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psychoff
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-€10 in second day. Nearly 5 x Stake (€50) loss. Everything was like a dream before Leicester- M. City game. Then returned to nightmare.
cybernet69

My thoughts.....

Man City was never a value back bet because:

1. Overpriced odds-on fav.
2. Three top players absent.
3. Setup a formation which teams used last year against Leicester and lost.
4. Under estimated the other team because they were on losing form.
5. Didn't have a plan B.
6. Playing away from home.

It was a value lay bet all day long with those odds prior to kick-off.

Cheers,
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ShaunWhite
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psychoff wrote: Everything was like a dream before .......
Sounds like my life as a Palace supporter...or to give them their full and proper name "Sorry 10 men Palace" or "Fellow strugglers Palace".
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psychoff
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cybernet69 wrote:My thoughts.....

Man City was never a value back bet because:

1. Overpriced odds-on fav.
2. Three top players absent.
3. Setup a formation which teams used last year against Leicester and lost.
4. Under estimated the other team because they were on losing form.
5. Didn't have a plan B.
6. Playing away from home.

It was a value lay bet all day long with those odds prior to kick-off.

Cheers,
If this was for me, I didnt back City and I've never done this before (back/lay a team before kickoff). I just mean, Scalpy was doing well before that game...
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psychoff
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marksmeets302 wrote:Very interesting! Is it based on papers deepmind has published? Still struggling with that myself, can't get the neural nets to properly learn anything without overly pointing them in the right direction. If your approach has anything to do with Q-Learning I'd love to exchange ideas.
I guess we are talking about different things. After more than 10 years of soccer exchange experience, I can read the odds more accurately while watching an U/O market. I am trying to let Scalpy learn this ability with monitoring different variables of the market with the help of a statistical data.
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psychoff
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All time record of €160 profit by Scalpy :shock:
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psychoff
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Last page and details of best traded match...
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Jukebox
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Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Very pretty. I'm curious if Scalpy adjusted following the Leicester v M City loss or if it was treated as an acceptable outlier/surprise.
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psychoff
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Scalpy couldnt trade in all big matches today due to some problems about data providers. Although a big loss, finished the day with €3 profit. :geek:
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cyxstudio
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wow i am impressed! well done.
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psychoff
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Jukebox wrote:Very pretty. I'm curious if Scalpy adjusted following the Leicester v M City loss or if it was treated as an acceptable outlier/surprise.
As Scalpy is trading in under/over markets, unexpected and fast goals are the weakest part of Scalpy (and all traders in this market). Additionally, Scalpy doesnt watch the match and it is always unaware of dangerous attacks. To avoid these situations, Scalpy always monitors the orders in the market and if it feels anything unusual (for example big lays in a dangerous freekick position), it acts according to this.
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psychoff
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€51 loss yesterday (I was so upset to upload SS's here but you can check from twitter), and +€8 today.

Before weekend, I am going to finish an update for Scalpy which will hopefully prevent some losses.
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steven1976
Posts: 1744
Joined: Tue Jan 19, 2010 6:28 am

Can I suggest you add your Twitter name to the subject of the thread if its possible to edit it now. I don't subscribe to Twitter, so each time I have to search for your Twitter account and others who read the post not from the start may also miss it.

Also, is there an overall p/l from the starting date to follow or just daily results?
stu410
Posts: 97
Joined: Sat May 05, 2012 10:34 pm

psychofftrading
stu410
Posts: 97
Joined: Sat May 05, 2012 10:34 pm

steven1976 wrote:Can I suggest you add your Twitter name to the subject of the thread if its possible to edit it now. I don't subscribe to Twitter, so each time I have to search for your Twitter account and others who read the post not from the start may also miss it.

Also, is there an overall p/l from the starting date to follow or just daily results?
psychofftrading
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