Scalpy by Psychoff

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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psychoff
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steven1976 wrote:Can I suggest you add your Twitter name to the subject of the thread if its possible to edit it now. I don't subscribe to Twitter, so each time I have to search for your Twitter account and others who read the post not from the start may also miss it.

Also, is there an overall p/l from the starting date to follow or just daily results?
I dont think that subject can be edited.:(
Yorkshire Pud
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How's Scalpy doing Psychoff?
stu410
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Yorkshire Pud wrote:How's Scalpy doing Psychoff?
https://twitter.com/psychofftrading
dm1900
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Are you using machine learning? If so I have some tips for you.
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EyePeaSea
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psychoff wrote:Scalpy couldnt trade in all big matches today due to some problems about data providers. Although a big loss, finished the day with €3 profit. :geek:
Am I reading that correctly? You're paying a commission on 2.43%? So you've got around 88,000 Betfair points to get the 52% discount rate?

Jeez... and I'd been planning a small party to celebrate getting up to the 4% discount rate.

Just curious.

Regards


Ian
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ShaunWhite
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stu410 wrote:
Yorkshire Pud wrote:How's Scalpy doing Psychoff?
https://twitter.com/psychofftrading
I don't understand why lots of the screenshots are for thousands, but the P&Ls are showing profits in the 10s.
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jimibt
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ShaunWhite wrote:
stu410 wrote:
Yorkshire Pud wrote:How's Scalpy doing Psychoff?
https://twitter.com/psychofftrading
I don't understand why lots of the screenshots are for thousands, but the P&Ls are showing profits in the 10s.
shaun, this was exactly what i thought when i first reviewed the twitter feed. i'm assuming that this is the normal manual daily trades, rather than the scalpy stuff. does make it a tad confusing tho i agree.
Yorkshire Pud
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I don't understand why lots of the screenshots are for thousands, but the P&Ls are showing profits in the 10s.[/quote]

shaun, this was exactly what i thought when i first reviewed the twitter feed. i'm assuming that this is the normal manual daily trades, rather than the scalpy stuff. does make it a tad confusing tho i agree.[/quote]

This is what I think he does, I'm sure I've read this on one of his twitter posts.
dkedwards
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Hi Psychoff. Just been reading your BA forum posts & Twitter. Are you planning to make Scalpy available / for sale at all?
max_usted
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Amazing results from Psychoff's scalpy bot - his Twitter feed is always very interesting to read and in a recent Tweet he wrote of it:

:Scalpy trades in the under and CS markets. If the score is 1-0, then it trades in under 1,5 and CS 1-0"

What do people think this involves - is this something like arbing between these two markets as time decays? Or using one of the markets as a hedge against a goal being scored while a back bet is open in the other market? First of these two options seems more likely?
deansaccount
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max_usted wrote:
Wed Jul 26, 2017 2:47 pm
Amazing results from Psychoff's scalpy bot - his Twitter feed is always very interesting to read and in a recent Tweet he wrote of it:

:Scalpy trades in the under and CS markets. If the score is 1-0, then it trades in under 1,5 and CS 1-0"

What do people think this involves - is this something like arbing between these two markets as time decays? Or using one of the markets as a hedge against a goal being scored while a back bet is open in the other market? First of these two options seems more likely?
Before he made that tweet I had suspected he was doing something similar. He also answered one of my questions with 'Scalpy has a unique algoritm which comes from my 12-years experience in soccer inplay markets.' So he is not simply backing under 1.5 when the score is 1-0.
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jimibt
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deansaccount wrote:
Wed Jul 26, 2017 3:04 pm
max_usted wrote:
Wed Jul 26, 2017 2:47 pm
Amazing results from Psychoff's scalpy bot - his Twitter feed is always very interesting to read and in a recent Tweet he wrote of it:

:Scalpy trades in the under and CS markets. If the score is 1-0, then it trades in under 1,5 and CS 1-0"

What do people think this involves - is this something like arbing between these two markets as time decays? Or using one of the markets as a hedge against a goal being scored while a back bet is open in the other market? First of these two options seems more likely?
Before he made that tweet I had suspected he was doing something similar. He also answered one of my questions with 'Scalpy has a unique algoritm which comes from my 12-years experience in soccer inplay markets.' So he is not simply backing under 1.5 when the score is 1-0.
i think there's a crossover point that yields a small but consistent edge where you lay the CS score (on 1-0) and back the over 1.5 market by some multiple. only access to the live data would really allow you to make this decision point with any real success as the odds on both markets will have to *align* to make this happen. that said, there is a risk that there would be no change and both markets would run against you, so it's definitely a subtle trade.
max_usted
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jimibt wrote:
Wed Jul 26, 2017 3:09 pm
deansaccount wrote:
Wed Jul 26, 2017 3:04 pm
max_usted wrote:
Wed Jul 26, 2017 2:47 pm
Amazing results from Psychoff's scalpy bot - his Twitter feed is always very interesting to read and in a recent Tweet he wrote of it:

:Scalpy trades in the under and CS markets. If the score is 1-0, then it trades in under 1,5 and CS 1-0"

What do people think this involves - is this something like arbing between these two markets as time decays? Or using one of the markets as a hedge against a goal being scored while a back bet is open in the other market? First of these two options seems more likely?
Before he made that tweet I had suspected he was doing something similar. He also answered one of my questions with 'Scalpy has a unique algoritm which comes from my 12-years experience in soccer inplay markets.' So he is not simply backing under 1.5 when the score is 1-0.
i think there's a crossover point that yields a small but consistent edge where you lay the CS score (on 1-0) and back the over 1.5 market by some multiple. only access to the live data would really allow you to make this decision point with any real success as the odds on both markets will have to *align* to make this happen. that said, there is a risk that there would be no change and both markets would run against you, so it's definitely a subtle trade.
Hmm interesting.

He also posts the trades and I think that he must be laying in both the Unders and CS markets at some points. For instance, there's a few trades when he gets full return of his stake (profit) in both the u1.5 market and CS market when the score in the game was 4-2 or 7-1.

Guess it's unfair to pry too much but just interested in what his approach is as I never trade using CS markets with others simultaneously.
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jimibt
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max_usted wrote:
Thu Jul 27, 2017 10:40 am
jimibt wrote:
Wed Jul 26, 2017 3:09 pm
deansaccount wrote:
Wed Jul 26, 2017 3:04 pm


Before he made that tweet I had suspected he was doing something similar. He also answered one of my questions with 'Scalpy has a unique algoritm which comes from my 12-years experience in soccer inplay markets.' So he is not simply backing under 1.5 when the score is 1-0.
i think there's a crossover point that yields a small but consistent edge where you lay the CS score (on 1-0) and back the over 1.5 market by some multiple. only access to the live data would really allow you to make this decision point with any real success as the odds on both markets will have to *align* to make this happen. that said, there is a risk that there would be no change and both markets would run against you, so it's definitely a subtle trade.
Hmm interesting.

He also posts the trades and I think that he must be laying in both the Unders and CS markets at some points. For instance, there's a few trades when he gets full return of his stake (profit) in both the u1.5 market and CS market when the score in the game was 4-2 or 7-1.

Guess it's unfair to pry too much but just interested in what his approach is as I never trade using CS markets with others simultaneously.
it's certainly genius to be able to lay the u1.5 and get the full stake returned when the final result is such an outlandish score. mind now whirring!!
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