Trading What I see !?

Learn sports betting strategies and discuss key factors to consider when placing a bet.
Post Reply
User avatar
goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

Kai wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 9:54 am
goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 7:53 am
Just to set everyone's expectations, if around Xmas time I don't seem to have made at least some identifiable progress for me, then I will throw in the towel at that point, as I've got better things to do if this is never going to work out for me. So that's around 2,000 markets probably.
I know some of you will say 2,000 is not enough, well then so be it, it's definitely not worth the return of investment in what would be at least 2-3 years of torture!!!
A bit early to go down that rabbit hole I think.

Doesn't a college degree on average take 6 years for people? For an average paying job? And people still go for it.

Since trading is potentially one of the higher paying jobs, if not one of the highest, you could make an argument that investing a couple of years in it would be considered a relatively cheap investment. And yet people treat it as a little casual hobby on the side and expect insta-success because they're used to instant gratification.

But traditional education can't and won't really help you with that, since it doesn't teach you how to assess risk in general and manage your money properly, so teachers can't teach you how to be successful because they're not successful themselves, they're just the spokesperson for the traditional education system and only teaching you the basics so that you can serve the society better.

You have to seek out alternative education, and the curriculum is what you make of it, you have to practically create your own since what's out there is not enough.

I may troll around on the forum out of boredom or fun, but I take my trading seriously. If you're passionate enough about trading and want to build your life around it, then it should only be a matter of time.
So a few things:
- I did say if I don't feel like I've made progress, akin to learning something in your first term at college Or not !!
- personal situation comes into it as well, I have a main job in IT, I want to do this as a sideline income. It would never replace my main job income. If my situation won't fit then, unfortunately so be it
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5638
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:10 am
Kai wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 9:54 am
goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 7:53 am
Just to set everyone's expectations, if around Xmas time I don't seem to have made at least some identifiable progress for me, then I will throw in the towel at that point, as I've got better things to do if this is never going to work out for me. So that's around 2,000 markets probably.
I know some of you will say 2,000 is not enough, well then so be it, it's definitely not worth the return of investment in what would be at least 2-3 years of torture!!!
A bit early to go down that rabbit hole I think.

Doesn't a college degree on average take 6 years for people? For an average paying job? And people still go for it.

Since trading is potentially one of the higher paying jobs, if not one of the highest, you could make an argument that investing a couple of years in it would be considered a relatively cheap investment. And yet people treat it as a little casual hobby on the side and expect insta-success because they're used to instant gratification.

But traditional education can't and won't really help you with that, since it doesn't teach you how to assess risk in general and manage your money properly, so teachers can't teach you how to be successful because they're not successful themselves, they're just the spokesperson for the traditional education system and only teaching you the basics so that you can serve the society better.

You have to seek out alternative education, and the curriculum is what you make of it, you have to practically create your own since what's out there is not enough.

I may troll around on the forum out of boredom or fun, but I take my trading seriously. If you're passionate enough about trading and want to build your life around it, then it should only be a matter of time.
So a few things:
- I did say if I don't feel like I've made progress, akin to learning something in your first term at college Or not !!
- personal situation comes into it as well, I have a main job in IT, I want to do this as a sideline income. It would never replace my main job income. If my situation won't fit then, unfortunately so be it
No offence but it seems like your heart isn't in it - its a non starter if that's the case
User avatar
goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

Naffman wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:16 am
goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:10 am
Kai wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 9:54 am


A bit early to go down that rabbit hole I think.

Doesn't a college degree on average take 6 years for people? For an average paying job? And people still go for it.

Since trading is potentially one of the higher paying jobs, if not one of the highest, you could make an argument that investing a couple of years in it would be considered a relatively cheap investment. And yet people treat it as a little casual hobby on the side and expect insta-success because they're used to instant gratification.

But traditional education can't and won't really help you with that, since it doesn't teach you how to assess risk in general and manage your money properly, so teachers can't teach you how to be successful because they're not successful themselves, they're just the spokesperson for the traditional education system and only teaching you the basics so that you can serve the society better.

You have to seek out alternative education, and the curriculum is what you make of it, you have to practically create your own since what's out there is not enough.

I may troll around on the forum out of boredom or fun, but I take my trading seriously. If you're passionate enough about trading and want to build your life around it, then it should only be a matter of time.
So a few things:
- I did say if I don't feel like I've made progress, akin to learning something in your first term at college Or not !!
- personal situation comes into it as well, I have a main job in IT, I want to do this as a sideline income. It would never replace my main job income. If my situation won't fit then, unfortunately so be it
No offence but it seems like your heart isn't in it - its a non starter if that's the case
No worries, fair comment.
As I've always indicated I only want to be honest, for the moment I am pushing hard forward...I'm reading lots, and watching videos lots.......
User avatar
goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

Naffman wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:16 am
goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:10 am
Kai wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 9:54 am


A bit early to go down that rabbit hole I think.

Doesn't a college degree on average take 6 years for people? For an average paying job? And people still go for it.

Since trading is potentially one of the higher paying jobs, if not one of the highest, you could make an argument that investing a couple of years in it would be considered a relatively cheap investment. And yet people treat it as a little casual hobby on the side and expect insta-success because they're used to instant gratification.

But traditional education can't and won't really help you with that, since it doesn't teach you how to assess risk in general and manage your money properly, so teachers can't teach you how to be successful because they're not successful themselves, they're just the spokesperson for the traditional education system and only teaching you the basics so that you can serve the society better.

You have to seek out alternative education, and the curriculum is what you make of it, you have to practically create your own since what's out there is not enough.

I may troll around on the forum out of boredom or fun, but I take my trading seriously. If you're passionate enough about trading and want to build your life around it, then it should only be a matter of time.
So a few things:
- I did say if I don't feel like I've made progress, akin to learning something in your first term at college Or not !!
- personal situation comes into it as well, I have a main job in IT, I want to do this as a sideline income. It would never replace my main job income. If my situation won't fit then, unfortunately so be it
No offence but it seems like your heart isn't in it - its a non starter if that's the case
You make an interesting side point though, and that's psychological mindset
auto-matt
Posts: 136
Joined: Sun Jul 07, 2019 4:58 pm

By putting a number on it doesn’t mean it’s going to magically click once that number has been reached, Trading 2,000 live markets is far less beneficial than trading 1,000 markets that have been recorded and reviewed, you will miss out on so much in real time due to inexperience, quality not quantity
User avatar
Kai
Posts: 6192
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:29 am
I am pushing hard forward...I'm reading lots, and watching videos lots.......
That can help, but most of the progress will come from your own ladder and from your own work, not that of others.
User avatar
wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3219
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Kai wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:21 am
goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:29 am
I am pushing hard forward...I'm reading lots, and watching videos lots.......
That can help, but most of the progress will come from your own ladder and from your own work, not that of others.
In my experience it's good to develop a couple of strings to your bow. (strings=other sports, bow= trading portfolio)

What might be break even on horse racing (pre) might work well on football (pre).

Watch this (Peter Webb) video again and listen carefully to the beginning and, when the video starts showing examples, @4.58 onwards, watch his entry points and observe the other runners on the ladder too. (don't tell anyone cos they'll all be doing it) Worth re-watching a few times.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6eN7u326TI
User avatar
alexmr2
Posts: 766
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2018 12:32 am

If your heart is in this and you are persistent it should work eventually but IMO the xmas goal is unrealistic (I wish someone had told me that). I started on the horses around this time in 2018 and had a goal to be profitable by new year 2019 because it just seemed around the corner after the help and videos I'd been shown by a pro it made it look easy

Never mind new year 2019, I was still losing money new year 2020, and another 9 months later today it's still the same. Bearing in mind this is me trading 7 days a week with only a couple of days off a month, rewatching my trades and watching videos most nights, rereading books like trading in the zone and having lots of guidance and live trading calls with a pro trader. I have definitely made progress but my P&L hasn't with a lifetime of something around -£8k from only using £100 banks and a lot of practice mode.

I'm not trying to be negative and there are many different ways to trade but I'm saying my experience because I wouldn't want you to lose the same money as I have or to think it can be done in a year or two even if you make it your life

Professional, consistent, manual trading isn't really a profitable sidehustle or a hobby, there isn't much middle ground so it's like saying you would study for years to become a lawyer or surgeon only to do it at weekends (and charge £100-200 an hour) but then work all week on your day job at say £15 an hour
User avatar
goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

auto-matt wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:35 am
By putting a number on it doesn’t mean it’s going to magically click once that number has been reached, Trading 2,000 live markets is far less beneficial than trading 1,000 markets that have been recorded and reviewed, you will miss out on so much in real time due to inexperience, quality not quantity
Yes agree.
I just spent a very careful bit of quality experience trading, and just got it totally wrong!!
My very words when I traded out for a loss, was "For **** sake why is it doing that?!"
User avatar
goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

alexmr2 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 12:45 pm
If your heart is in this and you are persistent it should work eventually but IMO the xmas goal is unrealistic (I wish someone had told me that). I started on the horses around this time in 2018 and had a goal to be profitable by new year 2019 because it just seemed around the corner after the help and videos I'd been shown by a pro it made it look easy

Never mind new year 2019, I was still losing money new year 2020, and another 9 months later today it's still the same. Bearing in mind this is me trading 7 days a week with only a couple of days off a month, rewatching my trades and watching videos most nights, rereading books like trading in the zone and having lots of guidance and live trading calls with a pro trader. I have definitely made progress but my P&L hasn't with a lifetime of something around -£8k from only using £100 banks and a lot of practice mode.

I'm not trying to be negative and there are many different ways to trade but I'm saying my experience because I wouldn't want you to lose the same money as I have or to think it can be done in a year or two even if you make it your life

Professional, consistent, manual trading isn't really a profitable sidehustle or a hobby, there isn't much middle ground so it's like saying you would study for years to become a lawyer or surgeon only to do it at weekends (and charge £100-200 an hour) but then work all week on your day job at say £15 an hour
Appreciate your input, and you somewhat scare me, 2 years on and you've lost £8k and still losing, blimey!
I can tell you once I lose my current bank I am done, and you've just reinforced that decision.

I would like to point out a huge discrepancy here, what is it that Peter Webb knows that us lot don't?! It scares me when I saw one of his recent videos where he quoted his last week's Premium Charge figure, It was £1667 at 40%, so at a rough guess say Peter is 10% efficient, that's £1667 for 30% net profit, that's £5.6k he made in one week!!!!!
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Unfortunately some people just will never crack this no matter how long they try and imo if you're losing money over years then its not for you and you should move on.

One piece of advice is that is never given enough is to cut your losses and accept the fact that you may not be suited to trading no matter how many books you read or how many videos you watch.
User avatar
goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

Trader Pat wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:10 pm
Unfortunately some people just will never crack this no matter how long they try and imo if you're losing money over years then its not for you and you should move on.

One piece of advice is that is never given enough is to cut your losses and accept the fact that you may not be suited to trading no matter how many books you read or how many videos you watch.
We can't stop, we're feeding Peter's £5.6k a week... :D
User avatar
wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3219
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:32 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:10 pm
Unfortunately some people just will never crack this no matter how long they try and imo if you're losing money over years then its not for you and you should move on.

One piece of advice is that is never given enough is to cut your losses and accept the fact that you may not be suited to trading no matter how many books you read or how many videos you watch.
We can't stop, we're feeding Peter's £5.6k a week... :D
That's down from £6k.... ;)
User avatar
jimibt
Posts: 3661
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2015 6:42 pm
Location: Narnia

goat68 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:02 pm
I would like to point out a huge discrepancy here, what is it that Peter Webb knows that us lot don't?!
ok, we've been at it 20 minutes, he's had a mere 20 years. i once put a sticking plaster on my son (in fact put many sticking plasters on all my kids -whether they needed them or not :D). but alas, when I tried open heart surgery on them i kinda found it scary and felt out of my depth - lol

sorry for being pithy, but that kinda sums up the naivity of the comment above ... this takes patience, observation, trial and error (maybe even talent) -only time provides the former 4, the final one is a bit more elusive to us all.
Korattt
Posts: 2405
Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2015 6:46 pm

goaty,

keep persisting on very small stakes, don’t give up, try & find something you’re good at & move on from there, maybe set up some basic automation on baby micro stakes & record what you see?, recording a days trading is extremely useful
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Post Reply

Return to “Betfair trading strategies”