As it says on the tin ..
I am not sure how much of this tourney I will watch, but, am working on some automated strats, which, I will try and put up.
Game 1
Zim v Hong Kong .. Zim 1.24 or so, is right .. No bet
Game 2
Scotland v Afghan
Afghan 1.40 is on the short side for me, thou, the Scotland side is weaker than it was last yr, when they played each other/plus, the dry conditions, will prob suit Aghan better.
Still, would expect some volatility in the game .. will try set-up a bot.
T20 cricket world cup
Sorry if it was confusing .. trying to save space.
Not sure if u have used matchbook before .. they have a diff comm model to Bf .. basically 1.15% on stake per bet .. no offset .. and a 7/8/9 sec in -play delay.
All of this, means .. plus the no BA / Matchbook software, means my strats are for the BA platform .. but, I occasionally use Matchbook, for some 1 or 2 bet plays.
Matchbook basically copies the Bf price .. so, if u think Bf is a 100% mkt .. then, your bets on MB, are almost +EV.
Not sure if u have used matchbook before .. they have a diff comm model to Bf .. basically 1.15% on stake per bet .. no offset .. and a 7/8/9 sec in -play delay.
All of this, means .. plus the no BA / Matchbook software, means my strats are for the BA platform .. but, I occasionally use Matchbook, for some 1 or 2 bet plays.
Matchbook basically copies the Bf price .. so, if u think Bf is a 100% mkt .. then, your bets on MB, are almost +EV.
Just try and keep some I/R stats here, for the tourny.
Game 1 .. Zim 1.24 fav v Hong Kong.. touched 1.50 .. Won .. £22m traded
Game 2 .. Afghan 1.40 fav v Scots .. touched 1.48 .. 1.21 at the break .. £12m traded, 1st half.
Game 1 .. Zim 1.24 fav v Hong Kong.. touched 1.50 .. Won .. £22m traded
Game 2 .. Afghan 1.40 fav v Scots .. touched 1.48 .. 1.21 at the break .. £12m traded, 1st half.
Last edited by megarain on Tue Mar 08, 2016 3:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
No, Betfair .. I cant see a volume figure for matchbook, thou, prices near Bf (not arbs), get taken, after a while.
Gotta nice book on scotties ..
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Matchbook is a one way book ..
There is clearly a mkt maker, who favours one side, and wont let u out, (at the right odds).
Have hedged elsewhere .. this could get close.
(( Volatility is the norm, for shitty teams ))
There is clearly a mkt maker, who favours one side, and wont let u out, (at the right odds).
Have hedged elsewhere .. this could get close.
(( Volatility is the norm, for shitty teams ))
Chart .. 38 needed from 17 ..
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Game 3 .. Bangladesh v Netherlands
I have as big a position on this game, as in the last yr.
1.20 bang is a joke. (Currently 1.27).
I make them 1.37 chances.
I have as big a position on this game, as in the last yr.
1.20 bang is a joke. (Currently 1.27).
I make them 1.37 chances.
Out of half position at 1.40 ..
chart ht 153/7
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got v big free bet on neth .. gonna leave it ..
Equity was big 5 figs ...
no regrets.
Ireland should dot up v Oman, but, if they had a timeform rating, it would include a squiggle.
look to lay, v low.
no regrets.
Ireland should dot up v Oman, but, if they had a timeform rating, it would include a squiggle.
look to lay, v low.