Cricket trading : T20 cricket world cup

[megarain]

As it says on the tin ..

I am not sure how much of this tourney I will watch, but, am working on some automated strats, which, I will try and put up.

Game 1

Zim v Hong Kong .. Zim 1.24 or so, is right .. No bet

Game 2

Scotland v Afghan

Afghan 1.40 is on the short side for me, thou, the Scotland side is weaker than it was last yr, when they played each other/plus, the dry conditions, will prob suit Aghan better.

Still, would expect some volatility in the game .. will try set-up a bot.

[xitian]

Hi megarain,

The subject title says Matchbook, so are you trying to automate strategies through them? If so, what software are you using, or are you accessing their API directly?

Thanks.

[megarain]

Sorry if it was confusing .. trying to save space.

Not sure if u have used matchbook before .. they have a diff comm model to Bf .. basically 1.15% on stake per bet .. no offset .. and a 7/8/9 sec in -play delay.

All of this, means .. plus the no BA / Matchbook software, means my strats are for the BA platform .. but, I occasionally use Matchbook, for some 1 or 2 bet plays.

Matchbook basically copies the Bf price .. so, if u think Bf is a 100% mkt .. then, your bets on MB, are almost +EV.

[megarain]

Just try and keep some I/R stats here, for the tourny.

Game 1 .. Zim 1.24 fav v Hong Kong.. touched 1.50 .. Won .. £22m traded

Game 2 .. Afghan 1.40 fav v Scots .. touched 1.48 .. 1.21 at the break .. £12m traded, 1st half.

[spreadbetting]

Is that 22m traded on Matchbook?

[megarain]

No, Betfair .. I cant see a volume figure for matchbook, thou, prices near Bf (not arbs), get taken, after a while.

[megarain]

Gotta nice book on scotties ..

[megarain]

Matchbook is a one way book ..

There is clearly a mkt maker, who favours one side, and wont let u out, (at the right odds).

Have hedged elsewhere .. this could get close.

(( Volatility is the norm, for shitty teams ))

[megarain]

Chart .. 38 needed from 17 ..

[megarain]

Game 3 .. Bangladesh v Netherlands

I have as big a position on this game, as in the last yr.

1.20 bang is a joke. (Currently 1.27).

I make them 1.37 chances.