ICC World Cup - England and Wales 2019

T20, IPL, Test matches or the Ashes, discuss it here.
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Euler
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Over winter I've been working on trying to understand fair odds on Cricket so looking forward to working through the World Cup and seeing what I learn.
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Archangel
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Euler wrote: ↑
Fri May 31, 2019 10:56 am
 Over winter I've been working on trying to understand fair odds on Cricket so looking forward to working through the World Cup and seeing what I learn.
Yes I think understanding fair odds, and perhaps finding value out of that, is what its all about.

Its going to be a different story trading order flow due to the effect of hitting a six or taking a wicket can have
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Euler
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That's really what I am trying to answer. What is the impact at any point in the match given a certain score. I've got a ton of data and some rough models but need to put it into practice to see the reality of it.
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Archangel
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Well, that was an interesting innings

Pakistan 105 All Out !

A complete collapse...

Not much left to trade on
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Euler
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My limited knowledge of limited overs cricket tells me Windies have probably won this. ;)
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megarain
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Been busy, but 2 things.

1. Yesterday, S.Africa needed 100 off 20 overs, with 2 wickets left.

That’s arguably a 100 chance .. someone offered 1000, and didn’t take it down when next ball went for 6.

Next ball was a 4.

Someone placed a £1k bet at 1000 that was matched. They had comedy green for 3 balls, as wkt-but the buyer had huge value.

2. ICC ticketing is a total joke.

One day Euler, we will talk about stuff (maybe at a master class?)
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Archangel
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New Zealand v Sri Lanka

Like yesterday, this match looks all over after first innings

NZ were available at 1.35 early on and after taking an early wicket
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Euler
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Not very exciting so far.
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Emmson
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Delighted at this modest recovery from Afghanistan that enabled to scratch.
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Emmson
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Poor marketing, choosing 2 games that were likely mismatches for the 1st saturday, no wonder this tournament has not captured the public imagination.
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Emmson
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Afghans recovering again to my surprise, time to start drip backing Aus then.
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Archangel
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Afghans putting up a fight at least, unlike some others!

Interested now to get involved with Australia again on the drift also
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megarain
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Not very exciting so far.
Depends on your view.
pl nzvsl.jpg
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Archangel
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Indeed
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megarain
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Greens a funky color ..

Maybe background color affects performance ?
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