Very much a fleeting visit.
I got a notification that there was a reply on this thread, so out of curiosity I visited.
When I read Matt's message, it reminded me of some of my messages, and I thought I'd do a reply that will hopefully shorten his learning journey, and spare him some of the pointless introspection aka worrying that I went through!
Jeff
Betfair scalping for beginners
It would be nice if you could take WOM as gospel but unfortunately trading is not that easy. WOW is calculated if memory serves correctly on the first three price points on either side of the current market price. People will use this fact to try and manipulate the market by placing large orders say in position two or three so their price wont be taken but it will influence the WOM.1aslingm wrote: ↑Fri Sep 08, 2017 7:44 pm
If you see the screen shot below, you can see that the WOM and market suggestion is that the favorite and second favorite should be drifting with a healthy 71% on fav pushing it up, I know the second fav isn’t as much with only 51% but has decent money either side.
I just wanted to know how accurate them signs are and do you take them as gospel?
From what I have read and been told, scalping is much harder now that it used to be. There is a large scalping thread on this site somewhere, read through it, it should help.
Don't be impressed with practise mode profits, practise mode is good for getting to grips with using the software and I guess if you cant make a profit using practise mode (and your taking is seriously) then there would not be much point using real money. However even using stakes like £10 you will find using real money is completely different and nothing like practise mode.
Thanks guys. It's good to know I have at least some fans in the forum!
My whole approach has changed, and while I still have a huge amount to learn, I no longer seek advice from forums and gurus. For me, the market is the best teacher, and if I want to test a theory I'll do so in the markets, using small stakes. Plus, I'm not sure it makes sense to give too much away to people you are competing against, and to top it all, I don't even use BA these days!
But thank you.
Jeff
My whole approach has changed, and while I still have a huge amount to learn, I no longer seek advice from forums and gurus. For me, the market is the best teacher, and if I want to test a theory I'll do so in the markets, using small stakes. Plus, I'm not sure it makes sense to give too much away to people you are competing against, and to top it all, I don't even use BA these days!
But thank you.
Jeff
This is interesting, I noticed SHR recently posted that the less time he spends on these forums the more money he makes. Several traders from the real world have told me the same thing and that makes me wonder why that should be the case. Some possible reasons could be:-Ferru123 wrote: ↑Sat Sep 09, 2017 2:53 pmMy whole approach has changed, and while I still have a huge amount to learn, I no longer seek advice from forums and gurus. For me, the market is the best teacher, and if I want to test a theory I'll do so in the markets, using small stakes. Plus, I'm not sure it makes sense to give too much away to people you are competing against, and to top it all, I don't even use BA these days!
One will often get conflicting advice from trading forums, this may well be given in good faith but what works for one trader may cause another trader to lose money.
It can be a little off putting when you see people posting good returns and (in my case anyway) you are happy for them because you feel that if they can do it then perhaps you can too. Then some time later you find out those returns were either faked (for anyone that doesn't know, BF templates that look like the real thing can be acquired on line) or the trader was using play money.
Hi Bluesky
Interesting points.
Re: 'what works for one trader may cause another trader to lose money.' - Agreed. It's all about the detail. For example, some traders have been able to make money consistently from swing trading, whether others lose money consistently, finding that the market normally steam rollers through their position.
Re: 'One will often get conflicting advice from trading forums' - I think this is partly because of imprecise definitions. For example, 'scalping' may mean different things to different people. Also, traders - even successful ones - are often like the proverbial blind man feeling the elephant. They know what has worked for them, and make inferences on the basis of that about the nature of the market. Sometimes those inferences may hold, but sometimes they won't.
There was a trader on this forum who I won't name, who diligently followed the advice of the pros, quoting them in much the way that a biblical scholar might quote the disciples. However, despite being a clearly intelligent guy, he ended up quitting Betfair. I think the mistake he made was to leave his critical faculties at the door (also, he took pride in using stakes that made losing painful, which didn't help - it was like he saw losses as due to an error on his part, rather than a part of the game).
Re: 'It can be a little off putting when you see people posting good returns'. I belong to a dieters' forum on Facebook. When someone posts (usually honestly) that they have lost 13 lbs in their first week, it can make other dieters feel gutted when they 'only' lose 9lbs in their first week. It's irrational, but we humans aren't rational creatures. The same risk applies to people posting high returns here.
Other offputting things about forums are the bitchiness you get when you dare to express a controversial opinion - try constructively criticising one of Peter's videos and see what happens, for example - and the fact that edges shared are edges lost (for example, I won't be trying to profit from the recent fascinating football data thread, as once a group of traders knows about an edge it's unlikely to last long!).
All that said, occasionally I'll come across something in the forum which triggers an idea. Plus, credit where it's due, some forum members have been very helpful, including sharing ideas in private with me (in particular, a guy who I still correspond with - I won't name him, but he knows who he is).
Jeff
Interesting points.
Re: 'what works for one trader may cause another trader to lose money.' - Agreed. It's all about the detail. For example, some traders have been able to make money consistently from swing trading, whether others lose money consistently, finding that the market normally steam rollers through their position.
Re: 'One will often get conflicting advice from trading forums' - I think this is partly because of imprecise definitions. For example, 'scalping' may mean different things to different people. Also, traders - even successful ones - are often like the proverbial blind man feeling the elephant. They know what has worked for them, and make inferences on the basis of that about the nature of the market. Sometimes those inferences may hold, but sometimes they won't.
There was a trader on this forum who I won't name, who diligently followed the advice of the pros, quoting them in much the way that a biblical scholar might quote the disciples. However, despite being a clearly intelligent guy, he ended up quitting Betfair. I think the mistake he made was to leave his critical faculties at the door (also, he took pride in using stakes that made losing painful, which didn't help - it was like he saw losses as due to an error on his part, rather than a part of the game).
Re: 'It can be a little off putting when you see people posting good returns'. I belong to a dieters' forum on Facebook. When someone posts (usually honestly) that they have lost 13 lbs in their first week, it can make other dieters feel gutted when they 'only' lose 9lbs in their first week. It's irrational, but we humans aren't rational creatures. The same risk applies to people posting high returns here.
Other offputting things about forums are the bitchiness you get when you dare to express a controversial opinion - try constructively criticising one of Peter's videos and see what happens, for example - and the fact that edges shared are edges lost (for example, I won't be trying to profit from the recent fascinating football data thread, as once a group of traders knows about an edge it's unlikely to last long!).
All that said, occasionally I'll come across something in the forum which triggers an idea. Plus, credit where it's due, some forum members have been very helpful, including sharing ideas in private with me (in particular, a guy who I still correspond with - I won't name him, but he knows who he is).
Jeff
In the immoral words of Marty McFly for those of us old enough to remember the original Back to the Future, 'the history's gonna change!'.
At present, I'm happy just playing with small stakes. I leave my spreadsheets running, go to work, and then think 'Hmmm - this may be profitable, so I'll try it for a few more days, and see what happens'. Or 'that approach lead to a horrible loss - what if I reverse it?'.
Make a few pennies, lose a few pennies, hopefully over time acquire a lot of knowledge. Or at least the basis of a profitable system!
BTW, I was going through this thread and came across a great post by Mugs, quoted by Bluesky - third down: http://www.betangel.com/forum/viewtopic ... &start=160
Jeff
At present, I'm happy just playing with small stakes. I leave my spreadsheets running, go to work, and then think 'Hmmm - this may be profitable, so I'll try it for a few more days, and see what happens'. Or 'that approach lead to a horrible loss - what if I reverse it?'.
Make a few pennies, lose a few pennies, hopefully over time acquire a lot of knowledge. Or at least the basis of a profitable system!
BTW, I was going through this thread and came across a great post by Mugs, quoted by Bluesky - third down: http://www.betangel.com/forum/viewtopic ... &start=160
Jeff
Thanks Jeff for reminding me about that excellent post made by Mugs a few years back. I hadn't forgotten it but I had not read it for a while, and it was good to read it once again. It has to be one of the best posts I have read on this forum. I would strongly recommend anyone considering pre off horse race trading to read it.
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
If I think I know who you're talking about - that thread was a fascinating case study to any budding trader. And actually a very scary one. That trader got given everything, even up to the point of Peter explaining how he traded individual markets. The conclusion to that was simply being given edges is actually detrimental. If the trader can't create the edge himself & understand exactly how he made it/works; the moment the market shifts, he's dead. Clearly, there was a missing variable. Learning the proper process of edge creation - I've only ever seen one great video on this - & it was a London prop trader. But the "look for correlations" sound bite is vastly incomplete.Ferru123 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:40 pmThere was a trader on this forum who I won't name, who diligently followed the advice of the pros, quoting them in much the way that a biblical scholar might quote the disciples. However, despite being a clearly intelligent guy, he ended up quitting Betfair. I think the mistake he made was to leave his critical faculties at the door (also, he took pride in using stakes that made losing painful, which didn't help - it was like he saw losses as due to an error on his part, rather than a part of the game).
Hi I am new to BA and I have started off with learning scalping. I have been using the ladder format exclusively for scalpling and I noticed a difference between when I use the ladder for scalping as compared to Peter's videos on scalping. In Peter's scalping videos I have noticed that there is no delay between him entering the market i.e., the stake is automatically entered when he enters/exits the markets which allow rapid exits/entries from and into the market when necessary . In contrast with myself is that there is 5-7 sec delay before my bet is placed which is really slow.
I disabled the confirmation screen but there is still the 5 sec countdown when placing a bet. Any help will be appreciated.
Thanks
I disabled the confirmation screen but there is still the 5 sec countdown when placing a bet. Any help will be appreciated.
Thanks
-
- Posts: 3140
- Joined: Sun Jan 31, 2010 8:06 pm
You're probably betting in football markets that are in play and therefore subject to a 5 second + delay before the bet shows up in the market, the video of Peter is probably betting in a pre-off market which doesn't have the in play delay imposed on bets.