Trading Politics : Scottish Independence Vote

Punting on politics
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Euler
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 4:15 pm

Alex Salmond has resigned.

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Euler
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 4:22 pm


Iron
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Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

Fri Sep 19, 2014 7:17 pm

Wouldn't it be ironic if, after having spent his adult life campaigning against Scotland being ruled by a foreign power, he ended up working for the EU?

Jeff
Euler wrote:Alex Salmond has resigned.

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Euler
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 8:03 pm

More worried about Sturgeon replacing Salmond. Something fishy going on there?

marko236
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Joined: Fri Jul 12, 2013 11:54 am

Fri Sep 19, 2014 8:08 pm

Ferru123 wrote:Wouldn't it be ironic if, after having spent his adult life campaigning against Scotland being ruled by a foreign power, he ended up working for the EU?

Jeff
Euler wrote:Alex Salmond has resigned.
I feel sorry for the guy, it's like a football team spending many years to get to a world cup final and then missing the penalty kick to win it.

Iron
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Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

Sat Sep 20, 2014 11:53 am

Interesting article by Nate Silver: http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/scot ... polls-bad/

Iron
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Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

Mon Sep 22, 2014 5:22 pm

'Why I bet £900k on the Scottish referendum' - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-29314400

'The first time I walked in to the William Hill I tried to place a bet of £400,000. The bookies weren't set up to take it. They could only process £9,000 deposits at a time so it would have taken almost a whole day of separate transactions. By the time we organised a better solution the next day, the odds had worsened.'

I'm surprised that Hills were willing to accept even a £9,000 bet - they have declined £20 bets I've tried to place - and that the guy didn't simply bet with Betfair.

Jeff

steven1976
Posts: 1743
Joined: Tue Jan 19, 2010 6:28 am

Tue Sep 23, 2014 1:37 am

If he did place this on bf, what would he be expected to pay in terms of taxes on the winnings? I presume he would have had to drip it into the exchange and therefore it wouldn't be seen as a one off big punt which I think bf allow without charging PC?

LinusP
Posts: 1416
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 10:45 pm

Tue Sep 23, 2014 8:42 am

He was on radio 2 yesterday morning and talked a lot about how he he knew the yes vote would probably overtake no in the poles leading up to the event. If this is true and he comes from a banking background why did he not trade the event instead of gambling like a mug months before???

giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

Wed Sep 24, 2014 7:52 pm

Does anyone suspect that the vote may be rigged?
After the European election in Italy, one italian political party have shown strong prove of a rigged election, in fact the centre left achieved an outstanding result which no1 predicted and was backed by the eurosupporters.
Today I came across some debatable prove of something similar happened to the scottish referendum.
Here the video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LbJif7vISQg

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