Hi guys,
If I have a couple of strategies I want to test on the Overs markets for 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 goals markets - what is the best way of testing these?
Would it be live testing in practice mode? Or is there a way of testing the strategy over markets that have already taken place.
thanks!
Backtesting a strategy on the O/U goals markets
- ShaunWhite
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"Backtesting" is testing against historical data using something like Excel. Live or Practice mode is just regular testing.arbitrage16 wrote: ↑Fri May 18, 2018 11:28 amWould it be live testing in practice mode? Or is there a way of testing the strategy over markets that have already taken place.
To test on historical matches, you either need to be able to program or hire a programmer you trust. Are you hoping to bet pre-game or in-game?
Testing in a simulation mode is fine, but it would take time to confirm whether your strategy works or not (as opposed to just back-testing over 3 months of historical games, say). Also tweaking your strategy and knowing its effect is hard to do using live simulation. With back-testing you can tweak a strategy and then re-run over the same 3 months of data to see what difference it would have made. With live simulation you're always using new data so you can't really answer the "what-if" questions.
Testing in a simulation mode is fine, but it would take time to confirm whether your strategy works or not (as opposed to just back-testing over 3 months of historical games, say). Also tweaking your strategy and knowing its effect is hard to do using live simulation. With back-testing you can tweak a strategy and then re-run over the same 3 months of data to see what difference it would have made. With live simulation you're always using new data so you can't really answer the "what-if" questions.
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thanks for responses. I have used other software in the past but it's incredibly clunky to use and I was hoping there might be a better alternative out there.
otherwise I think it'll be testing out some strategies in demo mode, but as you say, it's a fairly slow process to find games that will fit my criteria
otherwise I think it'll be testing out some strategies in demo mode, but as you say, it's a fairly slow process to find games that will fit my criteria
- ShaunWhite
- Posts: 9731
- Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am
You won't find better than BAarbitrage16 wrote: ↑Fri May 18, 2018 6:01 pmI was hoping there might be a better alternative out there.
Try and get into Excel, the stuff you can do with Excel<->BA is really cool. Collecting data, analysing results, triggering bets etc.
It'll be even harder soon. Although I've heard there's a little kickabout in Russia soon that might be worth a lookarbitrage16 wrote: ↑Fri May 18, 2018 6:01 pmit's a fairly slow process to find games that will fit my criteria