Today's Cricket

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Emmson
Posts: 3378
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

I had a decent day there
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Emmson
Posts: 3378
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Still time for a result since its not a road of a wicket but draw layers will have to sweat.
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Derek27
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Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

I wouldn't feel too proud to pay for sex but paying for trading advice would be a dent in my pride. ;) Once you've got a bit of experience in a few sports you're already equipped to find your own footing.
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Kai
Posts: 6228
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Thx guys but asking who has the best cricket material (in your opinion) should be a legitimate and a pretty straightforward question to be fair.

Not really looking for trading advice here, my approaches from other sports seem to suit this market perfectly (hence my interest in it) and I'm happy with that, I'm just missing everything else which is the context and the structure of the sport itself (the basics duh) so that I can properly frame the opportunities and my trades. So not really interested in their strategies or learning about all of the players/teams or scalping the market and such, everyone knows you don't need that to trade and I have that with football already so building the same skillset on a different market the hard way would be silly and a giant waste of my resources.

If I were looking for trading advice and strategies and cricket edges then I wouldn't be mentioning CB and Badgerr because their material probably doesn't contain any, however it probably does contain the basics which is exactly what I would need in this case. Makes sense now, no? :)

Btw pride is nothing to be proud of, don't get me started on that one :) If I listened to my pride all the time I would never leave the comfort zone of my very first market, pride always comes before the fall :) If I see a realistic shortcut somewhere I'm more than happy to take it, investing in myself and managing my resources as efficiently as I possibly can seems a no-brainer, the only real goal is to learn as much as you can in the shortest amount of time and if pride gets in the way of that then it's probably not a good thing to have in abundance, but perhaps only in small doses :)

These markets are home to many a fallen trader ;) That were perhaps too prideful too often.

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Emmson
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Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

The draw has absolutely collapsed overnight, many will have done their bollocks on this game.
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Kai
Posts: 6228
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Emmson wrote:
Sat Aug 15, 2020 10:06 am
The draw has absolutely collapsed overnight, many will have done their bollocks on this game.
Lost a tick on the draw, the momentum was incredible, what's the reasoning behind it if you don't mind me asking?
Emmson
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Kai wrote:
Sat Aug 15, 2020 11:30 am
Emmson wrote:
Sat Aug 15, 2020 10:06 am
The draw has absolutely collapsed overnight, many will have done their bollocks on this game.
Lost a tick on the draw, the momentum was incredible, what's the reasoning behind it if you don't mind me asking?
[/quote

Just the bad light and forecasts for more of it so they can't get back on the field and the 1st innings of 4 has still not been completed so running out of time. No way could I foresee draw at levels it is right now, I could have been stranded too #DodgedBullet
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Kai
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Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Emmson wrote:
Sat Aug 15, 2020 11:58 am
Just the bad light and forecasts for more of it so they can't get back on the field and the 1st innings of 4 has still not been completed so running out of time. No way could I foresee draw at levels it is right now, I could have been stranded too #DodgedBullet
Makes sense, thanks. The market is even more ridiculous than I thought :o

Found it incredibly difficult to just sit and watch England drift from 3.50 to 20 without getting involved, wasn't sure about the context.
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wearthefoxhat
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Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Update 30 minutes ago...

30 minutes ago.jpg
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 2720
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

Kai wrote:
Sat Aug 15, 2020 11:30 am
Lost a tick on the draw, the momentum was incredible, what's the reasoning behind it if you don't mind me asking?
Hi Kai, the thing about what is called First Class cricket (Test and County games) is the 'play' is slightly different to most other games of any sport. In most other games winning is all about scoring more than the opponent but First Class cricket is more than that … it's about scoring more AND leaving enough time to bowl your opponent out twice. In cricket there is no point in domineering the game so much that you score 1,000 runs in 4 days and then leave yourself just 1 day to bowl the opposition out twice!
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Kai
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firlandsfarm wrote:
Sun Aug 16, 2020 8:14 am
Hi Kai, the thing about what is called First Class cricket (Test and County games) is the 'play' is slightly different to most other games of any sport.
Thanks for clearing that up, it's slightly different alright! :D

Yeah, apologies for the noob cricket questions above, obviously need to brush up on the structure of the sport itself and won't bother the forum with those, but I was just looking at the structure of the market from a trading perspective and it just seems like the perfect market to trade, regarding the number of quality opportunities and scale etc. The weather mechanic that is thrown into the mix and can act as a time decay mechanic is certainly unique compared to other sports.

You could have your hands full even without going inplay or scalping like Emmson is executing with 1 tick offset. Very exciting market to say the least, not surprised to see some of the biggest traders around like megarain specializing it!
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 2720
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

Kai wrote:
Sun Aug 16, 2020 11:01 am
You could have your hands full even without going inplay or scalping like Emmson is executing with 1 tick offset. Very exciting market to say the least, not surprised to see some of the biggest traders around like megarain specializing it!
It's maybe the biggest forgotten market! :)
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LeTiss
Posts: 5386
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

It's still possible to lay 1.03 for England to score 375 runs in their 1st Inns - they are currently 332-4

However, Buttler is only 13 short of his century and bad weather is forecast for Monday & Tuesday

I reckon there's a chance England will declare early, so 1.03 is worth a little dabble to lay
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firlandsfarm
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Slow start by England or is it Pakistan's tactic to stop them from scoring?
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abgespaced
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:25 am
Location: Australia

Hi all,

I'm new. I did my bank on the last test due to the draw. Looking to get my confidence back.

Anyway, draw hit 2.0 last night (while I was in bed). I am still dumbfounded by why it got so low. It was priced as if England were going to bat to 2000 and Pakistan never have a first innings. This was obviously corrected very shortly after, spiking to 4.5.

What I want to know is, how do you manage this rediculous overselling? Knowing that the weather looks good for at least 4 days (not great, just better than last test) and facing a draw at odds of 2.5. Laying at 2.5, watching it plummet to 2. Do you double down at that stage? This is how i wiped out my bank last time.

Right now the draw still looks like good value at 4.0. Unless Pakistan put up a good first innings total (highly unlikely looking at their odds of 580) they'll possibly follow on and it will be all over before the last day, which is when the forecast says there is the most chance of rain.

I guess the risk is that the game lasts to the final day and then gets rained out. How do you manage this risk? I feel like there will be opportunities in the next 2-3 days to get the draw at lower than 4, but any further wickets will only spike it and bad weather will be the only chance for it to come back down.
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