Five months is a loooong time...Golfer wrote:LOLstralia
Ashes 2013
- JollyGreen
- Posts: 2046
- Joined: Sat Mar 21, 2009 10:06 am
I was with with Peter and a Bet Angel client just prior to the start of this Ashes series and we all agreed England were massively over hyped.
On here I mentioned we had only beaten mediocre teams with many of them rebuilding, especially Australia. It was mentioned that a player may figure in SPOTY.
Basically we have bored teams out, simply being negative with our field and trying to force an error from the opposition. If we drop catches or they play well then the problem is magnified as we don't set a field to get them out.
If you look at Australia they have set a field and then bowled to it in order to get wickets. It is clearly working for them.
One of the things I brought up was the previous two Ashes series. We had everything go our way, the toss was won almost every time it was critical, the weather conditions worked in our favour. The weather even saved us when we clearly would have lost.
Sadly the media seem to ignore this and make them out to be unbeatable. This seems to have rubbed off on some of the players who clearly believed their own press. You have Graeme Swann glaring at fellow players if they dare to make an error, Stuart Broad spitting the dummy in the same way which eventually creates a bad atmosphere within the team. The result is nervousness and pressure which is amplified when the luck isn't going your way.
On here I mentioned we had only beaten mediocre teams with many of them rebuilding, especially Australia. It was mentioned that a player may figure in SPOTY.
Basically we have bored teams out, simply being negative with our field and trying to force an error from the opposition. If we drop catches or they play well then the problem is magnified as we don't set a field to get them out.
If you look at Australia they have set a field and then bowled to it in order to get wickets. It is clearly working for them.
One of the things I brought up was the previous two Ashes series. We had everything go our way, the toss was won almost every time it was critical, the weather conditions worked in our favour. The weather even saved us when we clearly would have lost.
Sadly the media seem to ignore this and make them out to be unbeatable. This seems to have rubbed off on some of the players who clearly believed their own press. You have Graeme Swann glaring at fellow players if they dare to make an error, Stuart Broad spitting the dummy in the same way which eventually creates a bad atmosphere within the team. The result is nervousness and pressure which is amplified when the luck isn't going your way.
I couldn't help to notice how volitile the market was when if was trading below 1.05 on day five, England 7 wickets down hit a couple of fours then Aus back out to 1.12 at times.
Is there anyone that trades at below 1.05? And if so, are there any pitfalls?
Is there anyone that trades at below 1.05? And if so, are there any pitfalls?
Put it this way. If you back in $1000 at 1.05 on Australia and have $1009 in the queue at 1.04 - how do you feel as England pile on a few runs? You watch it drift to 1.12 and start thinking about the grand you might drop. Your finger hovers over redding out. Sweat starts to appear in your armpits. Your pulse quickens. This strategy can also be called picking up pennies in front of the steamroller. Don't get your shoelaces caught, the steamroller doesn't stop.burdo77 wrote:
Is there anyone that trades at below 1.05? And if so, are there any pitfalls?
Alternatively you lay $1000 for a $50 liability at 1.05. And wait. There is no sweat. There is a spike up to 1.12. You green for $937.50. And make $59.38.
Over the long term if this volatility happens more than half the time you win.
Which are you more comfortable doing? Refer to the psychology threads.
Due to the cricket world cup in 2015.LeTiss 4pm wrote:Has the cycles for Ashes series changed?Golfer wrote:Well played Aus, see you in 18mnths.
It used to be every 2 years, therefore having a home series every 4 years
We seem to be playing Australia all the time these days
Normal biennial service resumes after England have lost that one as well.