Tennis Trading : Wimbledon 2018

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Dallas
Posts: 8162
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Fri Jul 13, 2018 11:06 pm

Im knacked :lol:

Here are the charts after 3 sets
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Derek27
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Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

Fri Jul 13, 2018 11:11 pm

Based on their last 30 serves (22 each) my tennis simulator gives Djokovic a 1.35 chance.

For the whole match (Djokovic 67.3%, Nadel 64.7%), maintaining the same strike-rate gives Djokovic a 1.21 chance.

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northbound
Posts: 399
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 11:22 pm

Fri Jul 13, 2018 11:24 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Fri Jul 13, 2018 11:11 pm
Based on their last 30 serves (22 each) my tennis simulator gives Djokovic a 1.35 chance.

For the whole match (Djokovic 67.3%, Nadel 64.7%), maintaining the same strike-rate gives Djokovic a 1.21 chance.
I have point-by-point datasets for loads of ATP/WTA matches this season, I believe 90% of them.

If you got ideas to test, get in touch.

Derek27
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Location: UK

Fri Jul 13, 2018 11:32 pm

Thanks Northbound. I'm just testing and experimenting with my simulator at the moment. :)

Zenyatta
Posts: 1067
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

Sat Jul 14, 2018 2:53 am

Euler wrote:
Fri Jul 13, 2018 10:14 pm
Excellent quality Tennis from Djokovic and Nadal so much better than the other semi
Well, Isner and Anderson were the top 2 servers ('the giants'), same styles, so boring slug-fest for long patches, still some good points though. Strategy of those guys is to just to bludgeon and belt the ball with all the force they can muster , usually resulting in either BOOM - Ace, or BOOM-BOOM, serve, return, point over :lol:

Did you see Anderson in the BBC interview at the end? He was totally shattered, his whole face puffed up, too exhausted to even speak almost. 6 hours of belting the ball BOOM BOOM BOOM with the 130mph serves - would take the body weeks to recover from that. Nuts.

Derek27
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Location: UK

Sat Jul 14, 2018 3:09 am

Zenyatta wrote:
Sat Jul 14, 2018 2:53 am
Euler wrote:
Fri Jul 13, 2018 10:14 pm
Excellent quality Tennis from Djokovic and Nadal so much better than the other semi
Did you see Anderson in the BBC interview at the end? He was totally shattered, his whole face puffed up, too exhausted to even speak almost. 6 hours of belting the ball BOOM BOOM BOOM with the 130mph serves - would take the body weeks to recover from that. Nuts.
He seemed to genuinely feel for his opponent - it can't be much fun losing after that 6 hour slog!

Derek27
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Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

Sat Jul 14, 2018 6:07 am

I wish they'd continue the match at 9am, just after Caulfield ends. That would suit me.

captainbang
Posts: 12
Joined: Tue May 01, 2018 1:33 pm

Sat Jul 14, 2018 11:48 am

Anyone know what time this match resumes at?

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Dallas
Posts: 8162
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Sat Jul 14, 2018 11:50 am

captainbang wrote:
Sat Jul 14, 2018 11:48 am
Anyone know what time this match resumes at?
On court at 13:00

Match will start around 13:10

Nero Tulip
Posts: 396
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 5:29 pm

Sat Jul 14, 2018 1:02 pm

Have this as an investable price on Djokovic.. quite a drift overnight as any momentum was discounted.

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