To be held on 6th May and looks an absolute toss-up currently.
Despite being an area that voted 70% leave, Labour decided to put forward an anti-Brexit Candidate.
There are only 2 polls out, the first had 39-36 LAB and the second 49-42 CON
Anyone from the area or have any opinions?
Hartlepool by-election
I'd actually be surprised if the Tory's didn't win it (if it was held tomorrow)
Labour were lucky to hold it in 2016, it was only the Brexit vote and Richard Tice in particular that split the vote.
North East and Hartlepool in particular is a strong working class area, as LeTiss said its been Labour for decades but people there seem to align themselves more with Tories now than Labour, and Starmer being the leader is probably as just as big a turn off for a strong leave area than Corbyn was
Labour were lucky to hold it in 2016, it was only the Brexit vote and Richard Tice in particular that split the vote.
North East and Hartlepool in particular is a strong working class area, as LeTiss said its been Labour for decades but people there seem to align themselves more with Tories now than Labour, and Starmer being the leader is probably as just as big a turn off for a strong leave area than Corbyn was
Yes it didn't help the Tories that the most popular BXP member to stand for election stood in Hartlepool getting 26% of the vote, most of which would've probably voted Tory if he hadn't had stood.Dallas wrote: ↑Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:41 pmI'd actually be surprised if the Tory's didn't win it (if it was held tomorrow)
Labour were lucky to hold it in 2016, it was only the Brexit vote and Richard Tice in particular that split the vote.
North East and Hartlepool in particular is a strong working class area, as LeTiss said its been Labour for decades but people there seem to align themselves more with Tories now than Labour, and Starmer being the leader is probably as just as big a turn off for a strong leave area than Corbyn was
Brexit does feel behind us now though but looking at the national polls, the Tories have maintained a general 10% cushion over Labour.
Mike Hill the former MP there has been stood down for misconduct, the current Labour elect went on a Saudi sponsored trip and has never supported Brexit, I guess it just depends how loyal the locals are to Labour/hate the Tories.
- superfrank
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He couldn't knock the skin off a rice pudding. No wonder the working classes are deserting Labour.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1388482592245231616
https://twitter.com/i/status/1388482592245231616
His career is/should be riding on this, despite the odds saying Conservatives should win this, it definitely still feels like a free shot for them.superfrank wrote: ↑Sat May 01, 2021 9:23 pmHe couldn't knock the skin off a rice pudding. No wonder the working classes are deserting Labour.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1388482592245231616
- superfrank
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- Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:28 pm
I would say a 5pt Tory win would be a phenomenal victory, now it looks like how far.superfrank wrote: ↑Tue May 04, 2021 6:16 pmMaybe having a London ultra-Remoaner as party leader wasn't such a good idea.
Poor Motty won't be happy
Incredible really