US Democratic Nominee 2020
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- Posts: 19
- Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2019 6:19 pm
Last week Joe Biden was priced @ 14.5, which was good value and could not believe it as I knew Bernie Sanders was not the favourite. This has been one of my most profitable trades this year. Who else saw this opportunity?
I'm surprised there isn't a thread for this market yet.
It really lit up last night when Biden made a massive comeback in the super Tuesday Primaries
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/p ... .128161111
It really lit up last night when Biden made a massive comeback in the super Tuesday Primaries
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/p ... .128161111
- marksmeets302
- Posts: 527
- Joined: Thu Dec 10, 2009 4:37 pm
Started out completely wrong there, I had positions against sanders and biden, and for buttigieg and bloomberg.
What surprises me is that hillary clinton has the 3rd best odds of becoming the nominee. It's hard to see that materialize. Perhaps if it ends as a tie between sanders and biden, and a commission then nominates clinton.
What surprises me is that hillary clinton has the 3rd best odds of becoming the nominee. It's hard to see that materialize. Perhaps if it ends as a tie between sanders and biden, and a commission then nominates clinton.
Oh wow I should've been looking at this.
How the hell are hillary clinton and michelle obama on there? And at throwaway prices
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/p ... .128161111
How the hell are hillary clinton and michelle obama on there? And at throwaway prices
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/p ... .128161111
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- Posts: 88
- Joined: Tue Jan 28, 2020 1:09 am
I see Hillary is sitting on the third line of betting and has had some support. I have very little idea about the political processes in the US, what would have to happen for her to be the Democratic Nominee given she's not contesting the primaries?
Title and section it was in made it hard to find, so I've merged the two into one thread now
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- Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm
She's there because she hasn't definitively said no to making a run at it and because it's possible that there will be a contested convention (explained here https://nyti.ms/2PJPLRb )Dr_Zoidberg wrote: ↑Fri Mar 06, 2020 2:22 pmI see Hillary is sitting on the third line of betting and has had some support. I have very little idea about the political processes in the US, what would have to happen for her to be the Democratic Nominee given she's not contesting the primaries?
In a contested convention you have the added complication of Super delegates. Unlike pledged delegates who are shared out depending on the results in the primaries and caucuses super delegates can vote for whoever they want even if that person isn't on the ballot. If you believe what some 'experts' and Bernie Sanders himself has said the establishment don't want Sanders as the nominee but after Biden's performance on Super Tuesday you would think the establishment would rally behind him (Biden) rather than deal in Hillary
Its still very unlikely but would make great tv!
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- Posts: 4327
- Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm
Biden into favourite for the 1st time in the next president market
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- Posts: 4327
- Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm
He's the best option to beat Trump, having said that I think COVID-19 is doing half the job for him