Search Results for 'formula 1'
Betfair trading – Formula 1 – Street traders
Formula one is back this weekend, so we will get to see how the new cars will shape the sport this season.
I delved into the sport in depth a few years ago and have kept all the records up to date to look at key aspects of it from a trading perspective. While there are not huge amounts of money traded on F1, I’ve enjoyed the intellectual pursuit of understanding the sport a bit better. It’s thrown off a …
Bahrain Formula 1 Grand Prix
My quest to model all F1 circuits continues and its starting to yield results. It’s been a massive task, but I just love fiddling around with data to better understand a sport and look for an edge. If I don’t find anything, it makes for a nice magazine article anyway!
There is a limited data set from Bahrain so comparing this track to others is not an exact science, but when you sort the data a couple of characteristics pop …
Canadian F1 Grand Prix
During the F1 season you will see me pop up with the odd stat. This is based on the research I completed this year.
I’ve been waiting for Canadian Grand Prix to come around as this is one of the least predictable from an outcome viewpoint (putting aside all the vagaries already in F1 this year). The circuit has been described as a ‘street curcuit without the houses’.
If you look historically at the Canadian GP the top qualifier only …
Short note on the Australian F1 Grand Prix
Last year I had a couple of thoughts about Formula one and motor-sport in general, so I embarked on a research project. Still a lot of work to be done and conclusions to be reached.
I’m still not finished on the research and I don’t have a complete data set but one I started the research, sensibly, at the start of the season and started working through each race going back ten years or as far as I could go. …
F1 is back – Australian Grand Prix
Well my tickets for Silverstone are already booked and I’m looking forward to the new season.
I don’t tend to do much on Motorsport, but over time I’ve become adept at picking out opportunties on F1. Have a browse of some previous blog posts.
Comments from winter testing and early season practice tend to show you whose cars are competitive and whose are not. Other teams will catch up over the course of the season and rule changes can …
Testing times – Profit from them!
Trading on Formula One racing may seem unusual, starting to trade even before the season has even started even more unusual; but it can often present some really good opportunities.
At the start of each year after a winter break, I watch preparations for the new Formula 1 season with interest. The various teams are testing new cars and configurations and it generally leads to a mixed bunch of results. But typically that’s what testing is all about. It’s at …
Testing times? Profit from them
Trading on Formula One racing may seem unusual and starting to trade even before the season has even started even more unusual, but it can often present some really good opportunities.
At the start of each year after a winter break, I watch preparations for the new Formula 1 season with interest. The various teams are testing new cars and configurations and it generally leads to a mixed bunch of results. But typically that’s what testing is all about. It’s …
Testing times
It is with interest that I am watching preparations for the new Formula 1 season.
The various teams have been testing this week in Jerez and it’s proved to be a mixed bunch of results so far, but hey, that’s what testing is all about.
But the uncertainty during testing and all the rule changes that have occurred this season could throw up some unexpected results as we head through the season. So I’m really interested in taking a deeper …
British Grand Prix
By the time you read this I will be tucking into a Bacon Roll at Silverstone, home of the British Grand Prix.
I’ve been determined to get to more sporting events this year rather than just sit at my desk looking for an opportunity, so I am pleased to confirm I am fulfilling that obligation so far this year. I was going to the Open Golf, because it is in the south this year. But given recent events I think …
Canadian entertainment
Not often you see a formula 1 race like that! I lost count of the number of times Jenson Button pitted, then he goes on to win the race! Vettel lost it on the last lap and was turned over at 1.04, Button was backed at very big odds. I wasn’t trading it but perhaps should have been given the weather conditions. Sometimes it’s just nice to watch the sport, especially when it’s this entertaining.
Make cash from ash
I hope you are not one of many being inconvenienced by the erupting volcano in Iceland, or the national air bodies, depending on how you see it. The office is quieter this Monday thanks to the failure of quite a few people failing to return from overseas after the school Easter holidays. My wife spoke to a friend last night, still stuck in the US with little hope of return this week. Scheduled ETA at least two weeks away, I …
Best motor sports trade ever?
I made a post with this here a little while ago: –
https://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2009/03/13/we-are-not-competitive/
I am not skilled at motor racing sports or have a strong enough opinion to trade it regulary, but if a trainer came out and said that a horse was not competitive, you would expect the price to drift quite a bit. That’s what I felt would happen in the Formula 1 markets when I heard these comments by McClaren on the state of play on their …
Trading Football on Betfair – Trading under 2.5 goals
The Soccer Mystic profiling tool is a way to help identify opportunities and give you that all important edge when trading soccer matches – it’s packed with a number of features to assist you when trading any of the Match odds, Over/Under or Correct Score markets and will help you pin point what times to get into and out of positions for the most value.
If you prefer the Over/Under markets then Soccer Mystic can offer you some invaluable help, …
Creating a Tennis Trading strategy
I’ve had a lot of people ask me about creating a Tennis trading strategy recently, so I thought I’d post an updated version of old article from January 2014 which a lot of people have found useful in the past.
For this article, my plan was to detail how to create and use an effective ‘script’ to trade a tennis match, by means of laying player’s service games and laying the player a break up in a set.
It is …
Tennis trading
In my journey to understand Tennis I had to work out how and why the market moved, so it was with that in mind that we created Tennis trader. It allowed us to probe the deepest detail of any Tennis match and set up strategies that would allow us to profit from that. Using Tennis trader you can get an idea of what is required for any strategy to pay off, what risk you are taking and when this will …
A year in the life
You may recall my blog posts a day, a week and a month. So what better way to sign off 2013 than a year in the life.
The year
I tend to follow a predictable pattern each year, skipping between major events where liquidity is highest. I used to do everything a few years ago but as my percentage return on invested capital shrinks, I am much more picking nowadays.
So I can tell you at the start …
Home advantage
One rule I have, is to favour positions where they is a psychological bias in the in the underlying event. What do I mean?
Take a look at the post I made about the Olympics not so long ago. This post documented home advantage bias with some academic evidence and concluded by explaining a number of reasons why this exists.
Imagine in a football match that we have a strong home team playing a weak away team and the away …
Winning Betfair Strategies
Roll up, I have a new system for you, for no effort and little skill you can bag £50k a year and Sir, for you today, it’s only…. Not £499, Not even £99, but just £37. But hurry I am closing offers on Friday and I only have 20 left!
I bet you heard that pitch before, it seems every day my inbox is fills up with offers telling me they have a foolproof system for me. A lot get …
British Grand Prix
I’m off to see the British Grand Prix this weekend. Just my luck that the race day should coincide with the moment the first Briton in 74 years is going to be playing the men’s final at Wimbledon, I’d quite like to watch that. But I can’t renege on the offer to take my son to Silverstone, even if it means trudging through what is likely to be very boggy ground.
The weather forecast looks mixed at best and this …
I predict a draw
Hold on, haven’t I posted that before? Has this happened before? Err… yes at the end of each Italian football season. I’m wise to it now!
Part of my preparation for the weekends football fixtures, I suck in all the matches via Bet Angel into a spreadsheet and a couple of pre-set formula’s point out areas of interest. Last night it threw up Padova vs Atalanta as ‘odd’. You can see why on the following graph. The volume of matched …
You thought racing had integrity issues!
Formula one race fixed at the weekend, some strange moves in odds on Tennis matches. These have all be topped by this remarkable boxing ‘match’. At least the winner had something to say about it.
Full story here: –
All 29 seconds seconds of the ’bout’ here: –
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5qqtYErML_M
Monaco grand prix
I don’t do much on the Formula one unless a clear cut opportunity exists but here is a post from last year that should help you on the Monaco grand prix. Click here to view it.
I was thinking of going to the Monaco grand prix this year but expensive is not the word to use to describe the cost to do it in style. Maybe next year!
Mercedes unlikely to win first GP
Anybody who can remember my ‘We are not competitive’ tip for formula one last year may be interested in the following article coming out of the Mercedes camp at the moment. Full story here: –
https://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/8539826.stm
What’s that ebook racing system really worth?
Roll up, I have a new system for you, for no effort and little skill you can bag £50k a year and Sir, for you today, it’s only, Not £499, Not even £99, but just £37. But hurry I am closing offers on Friday and I only have 20 left!
Hmm, I bet you heard that pitch before, it seems every day my inbox is accosted by offers telling me they have a foolproof system for sale. But if you …
What’s the price of a good start?
Thought this may be of interest to you ahead of this weeks British Grand Prix. With the right tactics any market can be traded. I don’t know how to price up a Formula one market but I have made some good trades on it this year. My best trade was laying Lewis Hamilton to win the drivers championship, have a search for that if you wish to read why I did that.
At Monaco, the notoriously tight circuit where overtaking …
We are not competitive
Interesting news coming out of the McLaren camp this week and finally an admission from McLaren on the state of their formula one season.
https://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/7941572.stm
Doesn’t seem to be priced into the market at the moment but maybe people are waiting for more concrete evidence to emerge not just from McLaren but the other teams as well. Should be an interesting season.
Broken hearts and markets are correlated
While waiting at an airport recently, I picked up a copy of wired magazine and found this excellent article. It reminded me of a blog I read way back in 2005 that discussed the same issue but in the future tense. Some great hindsight from the blogger back in 2005 who basically predicted the sort of issues this formula could throw up if mis-used.
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