The Sporting Super Cycle Is Here Every now and again, the sporting calendar throws up something extraordinary. This summer is one of those moments. Over the next few weeks we will move from Royal Ascot to the US Open Golf Championship, through the FIFA World Cup, and then straight into...
The surprising maths behind 60 years of hurt
The surprising maths behind 60 years of hurt If you've ever wondered how likely a football team is to win a World Cup, how often a trader should expect to have a winning day, or how many successful bets you might achieve over a season, then you've already encountered a...
2026 US PGA Golf – Trading Preview
2026 US PGA Golf - Trading Preview The second major championship of the year heads to one of America’s great classic venues in 2026, as the PGA Championship arrives at the famous Aronimink Golf Club. While much of the focus will naturally fall on the world’s best players, the course...
The MoneySavingExpert First Goalscorer Fiasco – A Costly Lesson in False Markets
https://youtu.be/HYX_v3cT9fg A Costly Lesson in False Markets A general rule of thumb! You know the old saying, if something looks too good to be true, it probably is. I've often found myself in those situations in the market. Some costly lesson taught me to think things through before jumping on...
Aftertimers of the world unite!
Aftertimers of the world, unite! It's the time of year when I'm quite likely to pick off some huge trades. The funny thing is I can't tell you where it's going to occur. I'll be looking for it and I'll be ready for it, but I can't tell you specifically...
Betfair Trading US Masters Golf
https://youtu.be/2uFUaY_GIKo Betfair Trading US Masters Golf I love Betfair trading the US Masters. It’s the only major played on the same course each year. This means you can collect many stats on how the course plays and form your strategies. That gives me a good guide for trading in and...
Grand National Betting & Trading Tips
Grand National Betting & Trading Tips If you want to add more science and are prepared to dig around in the form lines, some things have worked pretty well at the Grand National. Here is a list of the key characteristics. Key Betting Trends Picking a winner is notoriously tricky,...
Did lower fences make the Grand National safer?
Are Lower Grand National Fences Safer? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TfISWFZy0c Fallers and the Aintree Grand National There's always a lot of discussion around the Grand National about horse welfare. To tackle one of these issues, they made amendments to lower the fences to help tackle fallers. The interesting thing about this is that...
Human Behaviour Is the Hidden Engine Behind Trading, Betting and Investing
Human Behaviour Is the Hidden Engine When people talk about betting markets, financial markets or trading exchanges, the conversation usually turns to mathematics, algorithms and data. But the truth is far simpler and far more powerful. Markets are made of people. And people are not rational. Even those that end up...
Winning on Every Race at Cheltenham: Why Betfair Trading Markets Are Not Random
Betfair Trading Isn't Random Every year around the time of the Cheltenham Festival, you will hear a familiar argument about traading on betting exchanges. People say you cannot predict where prices are going to move. It's impossible. They claim that trading on a betting exchange is essentially random. If a...