Betting and Buffett
Every year in May, a unique alignment of my professional interests occurs when the Berkshire Hathaway Annual General Meeting (AGM) in Omaha coincides with the Guineas horse races in Newmarket.
It’s an exciting time that blends my twin passions: sports betting and financial investing. As both a bettor and an investor, these events offer me a wealth of insight and opportunities, but a few years ago, they also gave me something invaluable— a chance fo ask Warren Buffett a question.
Betting is the same as insurance
But before I dive into his response, let me give you some background on my experience in investing and sports betting. I have had a successful career in both fields and have always been drawn to achieving financial independence through wise investing. This led me to become Berkshire Hathaway’s shareholder, allowing me to attend their annual general meetings and meet Warren Buffett in person.
Over time, I also began to notice some striking similarities between sports betting and the insurance industry, which happens to be one of the core businesses of Berkshire Hathaway. Both fields are based on probabilities and managing risk, and both involve taking a cut of the premium received.
Of course, there are also some important differences, which is why I wanted to hear what Buffett had to say.
An Enlightening Response from Warren Buffett
So, during the Q&A session at the annual general meeting, I raised my hand and asked him about the similarities and differences between sports betting and the insurance industry. Buffett’s response was both insightful and informative.
He began by pointing out the key distinction between gambling and insurance, which is that gambling involves creating risks that don’t need to be created. For example, betting on the outcome of a roulette wheel involves creating a risk that doesn’t exist in the first place. In contrast, insurance is designed to mitigate existing risks, such as the risk of a natural disaster destroying your home or business.
Buffett then went on to explain that the insurance industry is built on the principle of transferring risk from the policyholder to the insurer. When you buy insurance, you are essentially paying a premium to transfer the risk of a potential loss to the insurer. In return, the insurer takes on the risk and promises to pay out in the event of a covered loss.
In contrast, gambling involves taking on risk that is not related to any underlying loss. For example, when you bet on a football game, you are not insuring against any particular loss or event. Instead, you are simply betting on the outcome of a game based on your own assessment of the probability of each team winning.
Despite these differences, Buffett acknowledged that there are also some similarities between sports betting and insurance. Both fields involve managing risk and pricing markets based on probabilities. And both industries make money by taking a cut of the premium received, whether it’s in the form of an insurance premium or a sports betting commission.
Similar, but different
Perhaps the most important way the two fields differ in terms of the turnaround on money. In sports betting, the turnaround on money is relatively short, with bettors depositing money into their accounts and placing bets on a regular basis. This means that sports betting companies need to have a large client fund account to cover the money that is constantly flowing in and out.
In contrast, insurance involves a longer turnaround on money, with policyholders paying premiums up front and insurers paying out claims over time. This means that insurance companies can invest the money they receive in the meantime, in order to generate additional income.
A Meeting That Mattered
I’ve been lucky enough to meet Warren Buffett personaly more than once and hearing his thoughts firsthand was not just a highlight of my career; it was a pivotal moment that reshaped how I view my roles in both the betting and financial worlds.
In sharing this experience, I hope to offer insights not just into the mind of one of the greatest investors of our time but also into the complex interplay of risk, ethics, and profitability in risk markets. Whether in insurance, betting, or any industry, understanding this balance is crucial for anyone looking to navigate these waters successfully.