Grand National Betting Tips
If you want to put a little more science into it and you’re prepared to dig around in the form lines, some things have generally worked pretty well at the Grand National. Here is a list of the key characteristics: –
Favourite don't win often
Favourites don’t tend to win at the Grand National. The price gets shortened up by the bookies because everybody has a punt on the favourite and there will be more money bet on the favourite than any other runner.
However, that’s generally not reflective of its true chance, so favourites have a terrible record at the Grand National in terms of getting a payoff.
Recently ran is helpful
It’s a good idea to have a horse that has been out and jumping and racing regularly.
Yes, you can prepare a horse to get fit for the Grand National, but there’s no replacement for experience so try and choose a horse that has been running fairly recently and preferably one over a reasonable distance preferably over three miles.
It’s rare for a winner at the Grand National to have not done that and had a little bit of experience and not run fairly recently. All bar one of the last 27 national winners have raced eight weeks or less prior to winning the Grand National and only two of the last 21 winners had fallen or unseated their rider more than twice prior to winning the Grand National.
Experience counts
Younger horses have a poor track record and the older horses tend to have a poor record as well, so try and look for horses that are aged under 9 to 10 or around that level.
Basically, the more extreme you go out the less likely you are to find a winner within that particular range.
Ratings & Weights
Why not Back more than one horse?
Using the above tips will help you narrow the field and place a bet on a horse that is more likely to win, but of course, there are many runners!
Backing more than one selection using advanced strategies such as dutching.
I’ve gone back over 20 years’ worth of Grand National results and had a look at which parts of the fields tend to be more or less profitable.
What I found was that runners one to four tend to be overbet and don’t tend to produce a good result when dutching. Likewise, at the back of the field, you’ve got a range of horses that it probably has no chance whatsoever so it’s better to exclude those so bring your focus to the middle of the field and you’re quite likely to be able to pick up a runner that’s going to win the race.
If you dutch runners five to twenty that has consistently produced a result over many years. That doesn’t mean that it’s going do it this year, but if that pattern holds it’s quite likely that you will profit.
What I do at the Grand National
Rather than having a Betfair trading is a great way of profiting from horse racing. The best thing about it, is that you can profit regardless of who goes on to win the Grand National and even before it has started, sounds crazy but it’s completely true,
I have produced videos on the trading process and an interview with the BBC where I talk about trading so if you want to know specifically what earth is going on there and how I can produce results like the one you see in this blog then watch some of those videos.
You should also visit the Bet Angel blog and read some of the stuff there or better visit the betangelacademy.com where you can do a trading crash course to get you up to speed pretty quickly.
You may not be able to get it sussed by this year’s Grand National, but the experience you gain will hopefully bring you in a much better position to win from racing in general or maybe next year’s Grand National? The top tip has to be, to learn to trade.
Good luck whatever you choose to do!
