Royal Ascot Punters ask for Moore

Betting markets can be predictable, especially during high-profile events like Royal Ascot. When punters latch onto a horse, the market can explode with activity. Bookmakers and sportsbooks add to the excitement with special offers, creating perfect conditions for a simple yet effective Betfair trading strategy.


It all begins when a particular horse starts gaining attention. This can be due to anything, but once people notice the horse being backed, they fear missing out and start backing it too. This often triggers a rush of bets, with punters interpreting the price movement as a ‘sign’ that the horse will win, regardless of the actual odds.


This phenomenon, driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO), makes little sense from a gambling perspective. As the price shortens, the value diminishes. Bookmakers quickly shorten the odds to mitigate their risk, further fueling the frenzy.


For Betfair traders, however, this is an ideal scenario. You can profit from the market’s movements without actually gambling on the race’s outcome. With trading software like Bet Angel, you can navigate these situations effectively, turning the market’s volatility into your advantage.


While trading carries some risk, it’s generally much safer than placing a wild bet on a heavily backed horse at a major event. Add in the excitement and impulsiveness of thousands of attendees at Ascot, and your chances of success as a trader just got even better!

Royal Ascot 2015

At Royal Ascot 2015 we were treated to a different type of gamble, the ‘partnership gamble’. In this type of move, a jockey and trainer partnership appear on ‘form’. They appear to have peaked at the right time and by winning a few races, that sets off gamble on future combinations of jockey and trainer. The poor horse doesn’t seem to come into it at times!


The theme of Royal Ascot in 2015 was Ryan Moore.


He had ridden eight winners from eighteen races and was expected to add to that tally as his partnership with Ballydoyle reaped rewards.

The partnership was in great form and punters just wanted more of Moore!

Race One

The fun and games started with Waterloo bridge which was ridden out to win. There didn’t seem to be much to note in the market on Waterloo Bridge.
1430-Waterloo-Bridge_9412054-Wins

Race Two & Three

In the next race, Disengo was backed slightly but came home fourth. It was only when we came to the third race that the heavy backing began. There was a really chunky bet that came in for Curvy and its price shortened and Ryan Moore rode out to win.
1505-Disegno_8565297-Fourth

Race four – The Gold Cup

The feature race of the day, the gold cup, was where the action really went into overdrive!


I have never seen a group race quite like it. The market was all over the place, It felt more like a seller on the all-weather in the middle of winter. General prices on the market flew all over the place and on the Ryan Moore horse, Kingfisher, you had some of the most bizarre moves I’ve ever seen in a quality racing market. I was lucky to escape with £100 profit. Anybody trading at the market could’ve ended up or down significantly!


Ryan Moore rode well but could only finish second.

1620-Kingfisher_7578902-Second

Race five

This immediately drew my attention to the next race. Significant backing had pulled the price in already, but Ryan Moore had just lost. When I turned to trade the fifth race the price started to drift. It seemed like a bit of common sense and returned to the market! But that wasn’t to last, as Ryan Moore got another winner! The fun and games were not over just yet.
1700-War-Envoy_8492657-Wins

Race six

Riding war envoy home to win in the previous race, kicked off heavy backing in the final race of the day. Dissolution was backed heavily and the price came crashing in, almost at the moment at which the previous race had finished.


The backing continued signficantly till it touched 2.75 and then stalled.


It looked to me as though it was unlikely to head in any further, The backers were just exhausted! So at that point, I decided to start laying. I actually tweeted my intention.

Twiiter_edit
I don’t believe for a minute that I can move the market, but I could see that other people were seeing what I could and that everybody had started to lay and the price would almost inevitably drift. I often don’t have the time to narrate a trade in real-time, but this seemed appropriate as it was so obvious and deliberate and there was plenty of time before the start of the race.

1735-Dissolution_8706066

Summary

Jockey and trainer gambles can produce great trading markets, so always keep your eye out for them.


By watching the racing and keeping an eye on the results, you can pick up on the general ‘feel’ for the day and any developing stories. By trading them, you can make a tidy sum.


This is just another one of those great moments that can occur at these types of meetings.